Wow lots of comments! Here's my 2 cents.
Mario should honestly win! He is hands down the best dancer, he may not always follow the rules, but he is fantastic. He might need to tighten up in some areas such as his finishing moves (hands) and sticking to the actual dance when not allowed to freestyle, but he's "on" almost every week. didn't like the Michael Jackson moves much either, he did them well, but didn't like them from him. Was it me or was his partner a little jealous of Eva Longoria. I think Eva was trying to make it that way too. Not a fan of Mario's partner that much either.
Joey is really great, but he's not dependible each week. Last night his dance was good, he's got the finishing moves down, but I find a lot of his routines boring. He is good, but I can honestly say I don't see him in the top 3. Wow that outfit his partner had on! Didn't like the beginning of his dance either. Didn't seem connected.
Emmitt- Is fantastic. He does a great job, he's not always on, but he's got great rhythym. I could see him in 2nd or 3rd place. For a big guy he really does a great job. Last night he was good, but I thought a little slow. He & Cheryl are a great team. She's lucked out to have 2 great partners right in a row. (yes the paso doble will forever be associated with the moves from Thriller for me-LOL)
Monique- She is another fantastic dancer. She works so hard, especially since the guys seem to out dazzle her, but she's holding her own. I could see her in any of the top 3 spots, but honestly I would have to put Mario in first. I would definitly rate her higher than Emmitt & most definitly Joey. I didn't like her dance last night. Too distracted with the costume & the beginning part seemed to have nothing to do with the dance itself. Shame on Louis letting her do a freestyle now when he knows the scoring is so critical.
Jerry-- I don't think he's necessarily tired, I think he knows he's out of his league and that the others should win before him. Cute routine last night, but he didn't even try to pretend to enjoy it. He's clearly trying to get off the show. Loved the little bull, that was funny.
Loved the Disco stuff. Also glad to see Tony dancing with the other instructors. I think those 3 guys are the top 3 male professional dancers--imo. I think Cheryl is 1 for the girls, but not sure who else I'd pick, maybe Kym she's really trying so hard with Jerry.
Can't wait until tonight. If Jerry doesn't go tonight I'd like to see Joey go. (If I have to see him lick his lips 1 more time aaaaahhhhh, he looks like a reptile or something). Sorry I actually do like Joey though.