I've asked multiple times in this thread and gotten nothing but crickets. Maybe you will be willing to answer. Looking at the "new case" charts for Florida (who has had no state mask mandate and to my knowledge no other state mandated precautions) and California (who is "lock down central" according to previous poster), the graph is very similar if not virtually identical. Here you go to refresh your memory...
California
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Florida:
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In fact, California has MORE cases. So, how do you determine that mask mandates and lock downs work? Yes, Florida had a larger "1st wave", but shouldn't Florida have seen a much steeper rise (and less of a fall) if opening things up was that dangerous?
ETA: Before anyone brings up population, according to Worldometer, CA has had just over 90k cases/million and FL 89k/million. CA does slightly better on deaths, 1.3k/million vs Florida's 1.4k/million.
Just for grins, Texas has 92k cases/million and 1.5k deaths/million.
Well, clearly the things that CA is doing are not working. School shutdowns, park shutdowns, amusement park closures - these things DO NOT work! In fact, it made it worse, and there have been plenty of studies that have proven this. In fact, the CA health officials even said so! Their reasoning; they closed outdoor dining to send a message, don't "mix". That's why DL is in yellow too (really dumb IMHO). It had the opposite affect; instead of meeting and "mixing" where the environment could be controlled, people went to each other's homes where it could not be controlled. DUMB, DUMB, DUMB!!
The problem is, the government has no control over the things that are spreading the disease. We cannot regulate who goes in your house and what you do once you are inside your house. that is where the VAST majority of spread is occurring. We have very little control over the other major source; confined space work areas. Meat packing plants, call centers, even sports locker rooms. Some things have worked. My office is an "open" office; no partitions. We have been shut down from the start and sent to work at home - GOOD! I hope we never return (full time anyway) - that place was a germ factory. Bars should be shut down until the bitter end.
SO how does FL and TX data compare to CA? I've been watching FL and CA really closely. CA population is 1.8 x FL population in case you want to compare. FL numbers are currently higher than CA numbers, but I think that is preferable to the spike that CA had. Why the spike? One word, BORDOM. FL and TX have had schools open LOTS of businesses open, amusement parks open, there are things to do. CA has not. When kids are not in school, there is nothing keeping families from travelling - AND THEY HAVE! National parks have never been more crowded in the "off" season (i.e. not summer). Go visit relatives? why not? We have the time, Grandma has an internet connection, let's go! Woops.
The tail end of the spike can be explained too. Without major holidays, there is less reason to travel plus we've done that now...and Grandma got sick. Ouch. Re-opening things like outdoor dining also helped (what?). Now people are doing the sensible things; staying local, wearing masks, following the protocols. We should have done this all along.
OK, so what about the no-mask-mandate states? FL and TX are not saying "don't wear a mask", they are saying "we want to treat our citizens like adults and trust they will make the responsible decisions (and yes, masks are implied)". It's a fine line with mixed results. FL had BIG trouble in Miami where they shut down bars and the people took the parties into homes and boats (yes, boats). Disney KILLED IT! On property at WDW is the safest place you can be and has been from the start. Schools are open, people didn't travel so much.
But what really gets left out of the discussion is the aftermath; what damage was done and was it necessary? CA kids are A FULL YEAR behind their counterparts in FL and TX. There was no reason for that. Kids in CA are experiencing unprecedented depression from the isolation. There was no reason for that. Businesses in CA have closed in vast numbers. A lot of that could have been prevented. In FL? Revenue went up, school budgets went up, teachers got raises, businesses that needed support got it. Sorry, really not seeing a downside here. I guess you could compare the overall COVID numbers and maybe FL ends up being slightly higher. OK, but they didn't have a pointy spike, hospitals were not overwhelmed, those who needed ICU care got it, and the state didn't go into debt in the process (FL never even touched the revenue they had set aside to deal with the crisis). If you look back on the reason for the shutdowns a year ago that was the result we were hoping for - FLATTEN the curve, not reduce every possible case. FL got it right. CA - not so much.