Speculation on point requirement increase for direct benefits

[juliebee]

On the 11/10/25 episode of DVCFan, Derek predicted that within a year that DVC will raise the point requirement for membership benefits. Those already meeting the requirement when they purchased are grandfathered in, so this only applies to those not currently covered by membership benefits. Thinking about this, if Derek is correct, then that would probably happen prior to the start of sales for Lakeshore Lodge. Looking at the past increases, it has been 4+ years since an increase in the points requirement. They had gone so long before starting increases, then nearly yearly increases (even during COVID era), and then a pause. Why would they do an increase now or within the year? Are the sales that numerous that Disney feels it wouldn't dent the amount of direct purchases? Do you think it would cause a direct purchase frenzy to purchase prior to the increase? It sounds like in past times there was some amount of warning before the increase. Anyone know how much warning?
I was thinking to wait to go direct until Lakeshore Lodge, but now I'm a bit concerned.

According to my research, the last few increases were:
6/3/2021- increase to 150 direct points for membership benefits
10/19/2020- increase to 125 direct points
9/17/2019- increase to 100 direct points
2/2018- increase to 75 direct points

 

[HyperspaceMountainPilot]

I’ve been expecting it for some time…especially because 150 does not get you far at Island Tower and they might get less complaints about spec renting of standard view studios if the average contract had an extra 25-35 points…but I’m not entirely sure how it impacts sales.

For example, we bought direct first and there was a big price break at 200, so we bought 200 points (basically all points from 150-200 had a per point cost less than buying many resale resorts direct)— the real question is how many people would be turned off entirely versus how many people would just add an extra 25 (or 50) points.

I could see them announcing an increase to 175 on 1/1 and hoping a lot of people decide to go direct for the holidays.

 

[WilsonFlyer]

Increasing it beyond the initial recommended minimum buy-in for any single membership would be suicidal. Surely, they have enough sense to know this.