- Joined
- Mar 23, 2004
- Messages
- 20,527
I'm not sure this is going to be as bad as eeryone thinks.I would say the biggest downside (by far) is that you’re probably not going to have an easy time staying anywhere other than SSR, OKW, AKV, and maybe Aulani, after 2042. Once the giant SAP point sink of BWV is gone (along with BCV, BRV, HHI, and VB), it’s going to be even more fiercely competitive to get into the monorail resorts and I don’t expect them to have more than the patchiest available if you don’t book within seconds of the 7mo window opening.
Most points are fully-qualified---either because they are developer points, because they were gratuitously transferred, or because they are resale but predate restrictions. While the volume of restricted resale points at the existing O14 will grow, a bunch will be taken out of service when the '42 resorts close. So, while recent resale buyers are limited to the remaining O14, most owners even at O14 resorts will not be. Instead they will have access to whatever the '42s become, and those resorts are not going to sit idle for very long.
I think we are more pessimistic about this problem because recent resale buyers are over-represented in this group.
Counterpoint: If you have a car, rope drop anywhere other than MK is easy to hit, and very reliable. For MK, it is no worse than the Crescent Lake resorts. SSR does have internal stops, but the internal loop is very efficient (much more so than OKW) and SSR is well-connected to arterial roads. In contrast, Crescent Lake resorts have the "joy" of Buena Vista Drive.I don't think I'd want SSR for a parks heavy trip with a lot of rope dropping