While I agree with SOME of what you say, I think you are being WAY too hard on Sony. I am a 44 year old guy who still games. I owned the original Pong, many Atari systems, colecovision, intellevision, NES, SNES, gamecube, PSP, PS1, PS2, DS Lite..... and a computer gaming geek. All to say I have seen it all, played it all.... oh, and XBOX too!
You make a blanket statement like the PSP3 will fail, and I have to wonder about your motivation. The number of companys backing Blue Ray is just as big as those backing HD DVD. When the $600 PS3 comes out in about 4 months, it will only be SLIGHTLY more expensive than a stand alone HD DVD player, but will play DVDs, and pretty much any older Playstation game. It will support HDMI, the highest consumer picture quality out there.
The Wii, will have FAR inferior graphic capabilities to the PS3. But that is OK, because it will be HALF the cost of the PS3. And it will NOT play ANY DVD at all. Still, I admit, the Wii is quite an interesting idea. But Nintendo, unless it can remake its image entirely, is thought of, rightfully so, to date, as the system for "little kids".
I admit that Sony STINKS as far as customer service. I used to work in retail electronics selling Sony. If you tell me that Nintendo is great at CS, well, I have to agree because I have no idea since I never needed service from Nintendo.
Sony has an intalled base of PS users OVER 10 million, and I think closer to 20 million worldwide. Those people are going to choose a PS3 for the backward compatibility of thousand of PS games on the market.... I would think.
And what is "the right place", exactly?