POTC $$ Guesses - daannzzz Wins!

[plutospup]

Just saw POTC with DD5. We both loved it!! Johnny Depp is hilarious! Good action flick, with a love story to boot! Yo Ho, Yo Ho... Disney may have another hit.

 

[Demosthenes]

DW and I saw it this weekend...twice. We loved it. I'm not the type to see a movie twice in the theaters, but this one was so much fun, we couldn't wait to go back. All of the showings for Saturday sold out and people were buying tickets for Sunday on Saturday night. I never expected this kind of a turn out for this film.

 

[FriendsOfEeyore]

Created a list of all the guesses. See first post.

 

[Golter]

I finally saw Pirates last night. I thoroughly enjoyed it. I'm afraid my guess of 165 Million by the end of 4th week will not hold up. It will have no problem passing 200 million.

I'd say the Pirate has legs and predict final domestic draw at $250 Mil.

 

[KNWVIKING]

Anyone happen to see which movie is back at the top of the charts for Tuesday ???

 

[Golter]

Pirates...5+ million

 

[AdventurerKat]

Hmmm...people won't see it twice? I sure did. I never go to movies twice...ever (Disney or not by the way!)

If the domestic gross of this movie is less than 200 mil while in the theaters, I will be surprised.

 

[Tekneek]

Pirates sure does seem to keep raking in the money, and doesn't look like a one-weekend splash like many other movies this year were.

 

[KNWVIKING]

Well, Sundays estimated 176 mil SAILS past my 175. Who's up next ?

 

[FriendsOfEeyore]

Originally posted by FriendsOfEeyore

daannzzz $208
RyMickey $200+
MelissathePooh $175
PatriciaH $175
KNWViking $175 (by Labor Day)
d-r $172
Golter $165
FriendsofEeyore $145
Planogirl $140
dc7800 $130
hopemax $119
Another Voice $ 15 (Close, but no cigar... Thanks for the phone in vote).

Well now, The Movie That Has No Legs is about $176M after only 19 days. One week to go for the above Estimates. Can PoTC take in another $32M in the next 7 days? If so, the unthinkable will have happened... PoTC would have even exceeded daannzzz wild guess!!!!

Please remember, no matter how successful this movie becomes, it will not make money for Disney. Isn't that right AV?

 

[crusader]

Well the money will certainly help but ABC really needs a hit this fall. Who knows maybe that Kelly Ripa can bring it on!

 

[wdwguide]

*Sigh* The black hole that is ABC... Not a single show in the top 20 last week...
What's good, there are less black holes the company needs to worry about this year than there have been in the past.

 

[KNWVIKING]

shall we all try again ???

How about a nice round number like 300 ?

 

[Golter]

I think 300 million is a real possibility. All movies that have reached 200 million in 25 days or less have reached 300 million except for Matrix Reloaded and Chamber of Secrets. Comparing Pirates to Matrix Reloaded, the pirate has much better sea legs.

 

[FriendsOfEeyore]

My original question was by yesterday, August 4th, see below.

Originally posted by FriendsOfEeyore
Let's start a thread about our thoughts on POTC and $ we think that it will gross thru the 1st four weekends, August 4th (thought about Labor day, but that was so hard and so far out when we did it for Nemo).

That said, it is fair to say that daannzzz was by far the best guesser amongst us. Orig guess was 208M, some 4 weeks ago. Well the actual 4 week total was $209,531,292. Now that is a good guess. Only off by .7%.

 

[DisneyKidds]

I think 300 million is a real possibility. All movies that have reached 200 million in 25 days or less have reached 300 million except for Matrix Reloaded and Chamber of Secrets. Comparing Pirates to Matrix Reloaded, the pirate has much better sea legs.

BoxOfficeMojo is also showing movies with the all time best 4th weekends.........................and Pirates stands at #8. While the week by week numbers are less for PotC than for Nemo, it looks like PotC is tracking a lot like Nemo. In fact PotC's weekend #4 dropoff was less than Nemo's. Now, I think everyone agrees that Nemo had some fins, so PotC must have a bone fide sea leg. Looking at the company in the top ten for all time 4th weekends, the majority hit $300 mil, so PotC may make that.

I'll take $252 thru Labor Day, topping out around $275 for it's full run.

 

[daannzzz]

Gosh. That makes up for my perdiction that Finding Nemo would only make $136 million by Labor day!!!!