Just some random thoughts... If we think about Lightning Pass as more of a FP+ replacement vs. an Unlimited allotment like I was talking about previously...
Consider that buying 3 Extra FastPasses per day for Club Level members was $50 per person per day with a minimum of 3 days (so $150 per person per trip) and you can estimate how much Disney values a Fastpass at (Roughly $17 per Fastpass) - Those were 2019 prices, so lets round it up to $20 per Lightning Pass.
What if they did a paid tiered system ... Something like:
1. $60 per person per day, 3 Lightning Passes (Free for Value Resort guests, and guests staying in hotels with Disney Perks like Disney Springs area hotels, Swan/Dolphin, etc)
2. $100 per person per day, 6 Lightning Passes (Free for Moderate Resort guests)
3. $150 per person per day, 10 Lightning Passes (Free for Deluxe Resort guests)
4. $200 per person per day, 15 Lightning Passes (Free to Club level guests, or maybe only available to them and you can't pay for it)
5. $300 per person per day, Unlimited Lightning Passes (Free to Club 33 members) <-- Maybe this won't be a thing at all except for Club 33 Members
Maybe for Annual Passes (or whatever replaces it if AP goes away) you pay a certain amount up front to get some number of Lightning Passes each day.
When you're in the park, you can buy more Lightning passes day of for $20 each (assuming there is availability) - or they could have demand based pricing, so if there are not enough people in the Lightning Pass line for Dumbo, they can draw people there by offering the Lightning Pass for cheap. But if the line is really long, discourage people from buying a Lightning Pass for a ride by raising the price.
They could have a limited amount of Lightning Passes per ride and have timed entry like FastPass+
For everyone else, virtual queue is a free option, after the line gets to be a certain length (lets say ~60 mins) - then you can join a virtual queue and are given a Boarding Group with an estimated amount of time until your BG is called - this is the way Indiana Jones Adventure is working at
Disneyland right now.
Just throwing out ideas - most probably wrong or crazy!
