So, on the title subject: Not Sure the DAH are doing so well, I think it looks mostly positive from a guest perspective for these two nights - great event for attendees; no problem for non-attendees; only downside I see so far is that it looks like a low enough participation rate that if you LIKE it, you might be at risk they won't continue and you miss out.
I'm interested in speculating from Disney's perspective. We don't know their goals for this event, but there have been quite a few theories. Could be more than one.
1) Simply to make money on this as a stand-alone with no further motive. Credible speculation that sold tickets have been very low. Looks like not success for Disney
2) Test the waters for a new price level for parties - since this is so ride-centric, with later hours and no additional features like special characters and parades, not sure the information gained is relevant, but maybe low sales still provide important info for Disney. I'd put it as a ?? for success
3) Combined with the Morning Magic, Test the waters for appeal to paying for low-wait admission to hot-ticket items. Seems like they'll get valuable info about these theories. I'd put it as successful from an info-gathering standpoint.
4) Set a defined dollar amount on EMH, so that you can market a "value of $150" on your premium-priced rooms or potential resort fee. I personally think it would need to be a bit longer-running before people would take it as fact that EMH are "worth" $150, but maybe not. I'd put it as ?? for success.
5) consider eliminating EMH altogether in place of paid DAH. Not sure here. . . does low attendance (unwillingness to pay) mean that Disney will conclude that people don't care about late hours? No idea what to conclude here.
Any further items? Agree/disagree?
1) I'm not sure about that. Even at 1000 sold, that's $150,000 in extra, unexpected revenue a night. If they get to 3000, or 10,000, that's a lot of added revenue for a reasonably small cost.
2) I think they are fine with the parties as they are. Maybe the usual marginal increase, but those things sell a lot of tickets, and I don't think there's a reason to price them up. Getting much more expensive would cause more guest dissatisfaction, and I think they've made it clear they've no intention of reducing attendance because demand is great and the parties sell out.
3) I think EMM and DAH are to solve two different problems. EMM is to take away the early morning ADR advantage, cut back ont eh RD crowds and hopefully break up the lines for 7DMT and Peter Pan. DAH, I think, is to come up with a way to monetize late-night visitors. Disney has historically had nights where they stay open late, for no other reason than to be kind to their guests. but as we've heard many times on this thread, people loved those late night hours because they were sparsely attended. That makes no sense from WDW's standpoint -- you're absorbing extra cost with no extra revenue and satisfying a fairly small number of guests. DAH allows them to bring in revenue for that extra time, and allows them to cut back on the "free" extended hours. I think what we're headed for a is a consistent closing time of 10 pm in the summer, and two DAH a week if not more. it would not surprise me, however, to see DAH be able to take the place of a park ticket in multi-days, so you could have the choice of one day of your 7-day ticket be a DAH event, or if you want to put in a whole 17 hour day, have it count as two days of your multi-day ticket.
4) I think this is a benefit more than a plan, but I think it's a good thing for them to have in their marketing arsenal.
5) DAH and night time EMHs are independent of each other, and have little effect on each other. EMHs will remain as an important perk for on-site guests, but DAH will be offered to the world. Remember, EMH has a potential visitor base of nearly 100,000 every night, and it's a much different animal than the very limited number of tickets for DAH. The success or failure of DAH will have nothing to do with EMH, but it will be a crucial piece of information for Disney to have when considering the extended basic hours (we'll call them EBH). I don't think EMH are in danger at all because of DAH, but I'm fairly certain EBH are. And that makes sense -- if low attendance is seen as a problem for EBH, then Disney has two choices on a go forward: either cut it out all together or find a way to increase revenue for them. If they feel a need to cut staffing costs, then phasing out those late night hours seems like a reasonable thing to do. Unless they find a way to make them pay for themselves. That's what I think the overall plan for this has been -- to find a way to justify the late nights beyond a very small percentage of happy guests (when compared to the overall attendance).