A fascinating question. What we know:
- Ticket sales were below expectations, so they had to give tickets away. How many sold and how many given away? We will never know.
- Reports are that the event "sold out", but I have yet to see a post, tweet or statement from anyone who was denied a ticket.
- The park wasn't all that crowded to begin with, suggesting that had the MK simply stayed open to everyone until 1:00 a.m., people might have had very close to the same experience. Perhaps no one would have been the only person in their Space Mountain rocket ship, and instead there would have been 4 other people with them. Or perhaps instead of having a literal "walk-on" experience, lines would have been 2-5 minutes long.
So what did we learn from all of this? That when crowd levels are low, the MK is very manageable after dark, and people really like this. And when crowd levels are low and you charge $149 for an event, people feel as if they have the MK all to themselves, and a number of people really, really like this. It could be that an event like this in mid-April might be analogous to the 4th FP that you can get for a ride that doesn't need one. During a low or shoulder season, people could have had an awesome time at the MK late at night if Disney had simply keep the park open late. "Free" extended hours would seem to give one a
good chance of walking onto rides from midnight to 1:00 a.m.. But for $149, you are
guaranteed that ability. To weigh the full value of this event, one would have to compare wait times and crowd levels from 10:00 p.m.-midnight next Tuesday, (which are normal operating hours open to everyone), to the wait times and crowd levels on Wednesday from 11:00 p.m.-1:00 a.m. (which are evening EMHs open to resort guests), to the wait times and crowd levels on Thursday during the next event. There is no doubt that the latter will be the least crowded. But will it be $149 per person less crowded? I would be amazed if the experience one has on Wednesday during EMHs turns out to be vastly inferior to the experience one has on Thursday for $149. The obvious difference being that off site guests don't have the ability to choose. And the ice cream.