(maybe not) Tropical Storm Hermine - WET WDW Wed & Thurs

They are currently saying Tropical storm hits between Tampa and Pensacola on Thursday....how long typically do these things hang around?...DW and I are flying in on Friday mid day.....so wondering if our flight will be an issue by then?.....what do you think?....especially all you experienced Floridian's! :)
 
They are currently saying Tropical storm hits between Tampa and Pensacola on Thursday....how long typically do these things hang around?...DW and I are flying in on Friday mid day.....so wondering if our flight will be an issue by then?.....what do you think?....especially all you experienced Floridian's! :)
Well, first of all, realize the distances involved. Tampa to Pensacola is about 400 miles -- or about the same as Boston to Washington, DC or San Francisco to San Diego. So that is one heckuva big spread.

Secondly, you have to consider how big the storm is 3-4 days from now, and we can't know that. It has been a pretty large system overall, but once it slows down and strengthens it should get smaller. How much smaller? Who knows?

Third, you have to look at where you are flying in FROM and where your particular aircraft is coming from -- and there is no way to know that.

According to the current storm track, it looks like they are expecting the storm to turn and rapidly accelerate to the NE on Wednesday. By 2 PM on Friday, the current track shows the storm off the coast of SC. But keep in mind that a) all that could change, b) a tropical storm is a wide area of disturbed weather, not a dot on the map, and c) your flights could be changed by factors that have little to do with the path of the storm (equipment availability, crew scheduling, etc.).

So the short answer is none of us know. I think you'll be okay, but stay in touch with your airline over the next couple of days and be prepared for changes.
 
Thanks Jim....flying in from Buffalo, so pretty much strait down the eastern seaboard....from what the models look like it seems to be ok for Friday, but as you say, it can change quickly. We will keep our fingers crossed!
 

We were originally scheduled to come in Thursday afternoon..I have booked a refundable ticket for tomorrow night as well to MCO...not sure if that will be early enough to ensure being able to land in Orlando..but really hope so with the current forecast!
 
Interesting that "9" is still only pulling 35 mph winds after this much time over very warm water. Also holding steady at 1004 mb.

We shall see....

MG
 
What do you think my chances are of my flight being on time Friday around 2pm?....looks like the storm is moving slower....i know it should be North of Orlando....but just think it will still have some effects Friday.
 
What do you think my chances are of my flight being on time Friday around 2pm?....looks like the storm is moving slower....i know it should be North of Orlando....but just think it will still have some effects Friday.
I don't see a huge issue here. They may change the arrival (pathway) into the Orlando area to dodge the storms, but at this point it looks doable. Of course that can change.

MG
 
If you see any rain in Orlando on Saturday, which is always likely, I doubt it will be associated with Hermine.
Now, if you were headed to Myrtle Beach.....

Please don't worry and enjoy your vaca.

MG
 
I hope my hotel is still in Lake City in two weeks. Hurricane looks like it will hit my two favorite stops, Lake City and Live Oak. Plus wipe out the DIY Blog Cabin.
 
Wifey just called me and said she heard on the local news to expect up to 60 mph winds in a few hours.
I really don't see that happening, but I guess it's possible.

We shall see....

MG
 
















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