Remind us
Total kcal burned = Body Weight (in kg) * Distance of race (in km)
*(Humphrey 2013) This is a general value and a specific value would require physiological testing.
Leg Muscle Mass: Males = Body Weight (in kg) * 21%; Females = Body Weight (in kg) *20%
*21% and 20% represent averages for males and females respectively with ranges of 14-27% and 18-22% respectively (Rapoport 2010). Again this illustrates the "average" or generalness of this calculation
CHO Storage in Legs = Leg Muscle Mass * 80
*(Humphrey 2013)
VO2peak = *formula not shown due to proprietary nature, from Jack Daniels
vVO2 (m/s) = 2.8859+0.0686*(VO2peak-29)
vVO2 (mph) = vVO2 (in m/s) *2.23694
Pace at %VO2peak (in min/mile) = (60/(vVO2 in mph)*(%VO2peak/100))/1440
Marathon Finish Time (Hours:Minutes:Seconds) = ((Pace at %VO2peak * 26.2)/60)/1440
Half Marathon Finish Time (Hours:Minutes:Seconds) = ((Pace at %VO2peak * 26.2)/60)/2880
Average CHO Use = Total kcals burned * ((%VO2peak-5)/100)
*(Humphrey 2013)
Subtract CHO Storage in legs = Avg CHO Use - CHO Storage in Legs
Subtract CHO Storage in Liver = Subtract CHO Storage in legs - 100
Deficit Cal/hour = Subtract CHO Storage in Liver / Race Finishing Time
Deficit Carbs (g) / hour = (Deficit Cal/hour) / 4
ESTIMATED DISTANCE (in miles) TO HIT WALL WITH NO CARB LOAD OR IN-RACE CONSUMPTION
= (((CHO Storage in Legs / Average CHO Use ) * Race Finish Time) * 60) / Pace at % VO2peak
DISTANCE (in miles) TO HIT WALL WITH NO CARB LOAD BUT GLUCOSE CONSUMPTION AT PLANNED RATE
= ((((CHO Storage in Legs + ((Planned CHO consump * Race Finish Time) * 4) / Average CHO Use ) * Race Finish Time ) * 60) / Pace at %VO2peak
Sources
Rapoport BI. Metabolic factors limiting performance in marathon runners. PLoS Comput Biol. 2010 Oct 21;6(10):e1000960. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000960. PubMed PMID: 20975938; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC2958805.
Humphrey, L. [Hanson's Coaching Services]. (2013, Nov 23). Calculating Caloric Needs for Marathon- Updated 11/22/2013 . [Video File].
Jentjens RLPG, Wagenmakers AJM, Jeukendrup AE: Heat stress increases muscle glycogen use but reduces theoxidation of ingested carbohydrates during exercise. J Appl Physiol 2002, 92:1562–1572.