I figure if it converts to 2:45 half, it is fine, but honestly I am confident I have more in me if I can find a race that (1) is not hills (2) is not a trail (3) is not pouring rain (4) is not outrageously hot. Apparently I should have searched harder for this in a spring race as there are few 10Ks to be had. I have my eye on a September race, but I need family buy in to spend half a weekend day on my own. I would be furious to commit and then have it be a literal wash out, so I may sign up for two in September and decide the week before based on weather which to run. Totally crazy or just a little crazy?
Just keep in mind that the difference between a 2:45 POT, and a 2:45-3:00 estimated finish (assuming this is the first drop down choice for non-POT submission) is probably going to be about 2000 people (or less than 10% of the field based on 2018 weekend) and 5 min in starting time (if measuring front of Corral E (5:59am start) vs front of Corral F (6:04am start)). Again assuming rD doesn't change the corral system too much. So I get the desire to have that submittable POT, but know that it will likely have a very small effect on race day if you submit an estimated finish of 2:45-3:00 vs just making it under the cutoff. So keep that in mind when making decisions about reaching for another 10k race or two this Fall for this purpose.
Did you estimate you finish time as above or below the POT cutoff? I estimated my time as below the cutoff and was only asked about my POT race results.
If I'm understanding correctly, then I feel that's a good thing.
-Expected finish faster than 2:45 HM (requires POT). Submit POT with time in input field. Convert time using their calculator. Sort from fastest to slowest. Seed corrals.
This eliminates the possibility of an issue like I described a few days ago with a 1:30 HM POT, but estimated finish of 2:30 HM (60 min extra for characters and such). You would have been seeded by the 2:30 HM. Although, I'd venture to guess many of those people in a situation like this would have wanted to be in Corral A instead of Corral D/E. Shorter lines for characters and other examples. Not having the estimated finish for HM/M for those that submit POT eliminates this headache on their end. Although, per earlier conversation, it does appear they've added estimated finish to 5k/10k for Dopey runners.
This also eliminates people saying well hey my POT may say 2:30, but now I'm prepared to run a 2:10. But you corralled me in 2:30, I want a change to where I said I'd finish. So place me with the 2:10s.
I'd be surprised if they verified more than a few of the POT submissions. There were ~16546 POTs from the 2018 Marathon weekend (Dopey+Goofy+Marathon+HM). Although having the "estimated finish" was a nice safe guard to find outliers, I feel like this should make the process simpler for them.
-Expected finish slower than 2:45 HM (does not require POT). Put estimated finish time from three choices.
What you choose will be your corral. If you choose 2:45-3:00, then corral F. If you choose 3:00-3:15, then corral G. If you choose 3:15-3:30, then corral H. Again simple.