I honestly find this position baffling... as does the whole fixation people have on banning cell phone use while driving. Without a doubt cell phone use can, and does, cause distracted driving accidents. However, so do a number of other "optional" activities: eating, drinking, smoking, changing CDs, hair brushing, entering a via point on a GPS, etc. Interestingly, not many people are all jazzed about any of these accident threats with the same zeal aimed at cell phone conversations.
The logical reason for this disconnect is that the perception has be put forward that the driver distractions from cell phone use somehow stands above the rest. It's said again and again that it's worse than drunk driving. Who can blame people with that being said?
About the biggest "smoking gun" for all of this was referenced in the Time article you posted. It was
the "suppressed" 2003 study report from The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration that concluded that cell phones were a dangerous menace to our society when in the hands of drivers.
But the more I read about all of this, one problem keeps cropping up again and again: researchers continue to have problems translating this terrible problem from driving simulators, labs, and spreadsheets into the real world. For example:
1) The NHTSA notes, that as in-car use of cell phones has flown off the charts in the US, traffic deaths have remained stable... however, they dismiss this as being due to safety improvements (such as air bags becoming standard in cars) over the same period. Fair enough. But where is the increase in
overall accidents caused by the 30% of drivers that have started driving around like they've downed 4 shots of Jack Daniels?
2) They note that studies of police reports in Japan in the 6 month preceding, and after, a cell phone ban went into effect there showed a remarkable 80% drop in accidents post-ban. Pretty damning, huh? However, the NHTSA is honest enough to put a big asterisk by the number because the figures are based on driver self-reporting and not a lot of people are going to self-report themselves into an expensive traffic ticket.
3) Other researchers that have tried to measure the actual impact of cell phone bans (both those that allow hands-free and outright bans). Here's part of
one study conclusion from 2006:
Our new approach for estimating the relationship between cell phone use while driving and accidents is the first to test for driver heterogeneity and selection effects and the first that allows direct estimation of the impact of a cell phone ban while driving. We have two key findings. First, we find evidence that the impact of cell phone use on accidents varies across the population. In particular, even after controlling for observed driver characteristics, our random coefficient models show there is additional variation in the cell phone impacts on accidents, particularly for female drivers. This result implies that previous estimates of the impact of cell phone use on risk for the population, based on accident-only samples, may therefore be overstated by 36%. Second, there is evidence of selection effects. Our models predict no statistically significant reduction in accidents from bans on usage of cell phones while driving. Our estimates of the reduction in accidents from a ban on cell phone use while driving are both lower and less certain than some previous studies indicate.
4)
This CBC story on the NHTSA "smoking gun" study purported that the governmental body "found" that cell phones caused 240,000 accidents and 955 fatalities in 2002. However, again, these are theoretical accidents based on things like taking lab experiments about increases in reaction times, cell phone usage patterns, and extrapolating the number of accidents that would result. The same study concluded that at any give time there are more than a million cell phone using drivers on our roads. If the comparison to "drunk driving" is correct, why can't a historical correlation between our cell phone subscriber base and changes in the rates of all traffic accidents (that don't rely on self-reporting) be found?
Again, can cell phones cause distractions? Yes. Should a driver be possibly held libel if they cause an accident due to cell phone distraction? Yes. Has there been real life evidence found that cell phones represent a uniquely dangerous cause of voluntary driver distraction? No.