<font face="times" size="+0">well generally, yes, renting
DVC points can save money over booking with cash, <i>when there are no other cash discounts available</i>. but, it becomes less worth it the more weekend (Fri + Sat) nights your trip includes. this is because, when booking with points, weekend nights usually cost A LOT more than weekday nights.
let's take a look at some of the rare times discount rates have been reported for a 2bdrm villa:
- Dec 2001 (Value season) - an example AP rate for DVC 2bdrm was $269 at OKW... this was right after 9-11 and we'll probably never see a cash discount on DVC villas that low again. also, OKW rates are lower than rates at other resorts like BCV or VWL.
- Jan 2003 (Value Season) - some examples of general discount code rate for DVC 2bdrm were $364 at VWL, and $319 at OKW.
in DVC points, VWL's units cost the same # of points as BCV, so we can use that $364 2003 figure as an example. booking via cash, you have to pay the hotel tax of 11.5%, so a 2bdrm would cost $364 + tax = approx $406/night. but booking with cash gives you daily maid service, at no cost. (stays booked with DVC points have only limited maid service)
a BCV 2bdrm villa in July costs 40 points/night Sun - Thu, and on Fri + Sat it costs a whopping 75 points/night.
so if you compare renting points to booking a heavily discounted cash rate, it's not worth it to rent. however, discounts on the larger villa rooms seem to be very rare (not to mention that i have not ever seen a discount for July stays). you might be able to find studios at the discount rate more often... but even then, there is no guarantee. to make matters worse, as we have seen, Disney waits until the very last minute to release discount codes, so you would be waiting around for discount codes that might not even include the DVC villas.
so, if you just assume that there are no discounts, you are left comparing renting vs. the rack rate... in which case it's almost always worth it to rent DVC points. (rack rate is $545 + tax = approx $607/night in Value Season...)
hope this helps.
also, how many people are in your traveling party? perhaps you could try a GV at OKW (sleeps up to 12 adults, 3 bdrms, 3 baths). much cheaper points cost than 2 BCV 2bdrms, and from what i've heard, very beautiful units. the other thing is, since you seem to stay in the villas anyway on your WDW trips, you might want to consider joining DVC instead of renting or booking via cash. check out the DVC discussion boards if you have any other questions.</font>