Indonesia Bird Flu Update

luvwinnie

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http://calsun.canoe.ca/News/National/2006/05/23/1593231-sun.html

Boy may have passed deadly flu to dad
By CP

TORONTO -- The World Health Organization appears to be edging closer to suggesting an Indonesian man who died from H5N1 avian flu yesterday may have been infected by his 10-year-old son, not through exposure to sick poultry or some other environmental source.

WHO officials had earlier expressed the theory a thorough investigation might reveal a potential source of contagion in the community, such as use of contaminated chicken feces as manure. But expert disease investigators seem to be ruling out that possibility, a spokesperson for the WHO said from Geneva.

Limited spread of the virus among people is believed to have happened on several previous occasions. But in each of these suspected cases, transmission of the virus petered out.

Sustained human-to-human spread of the virus would be needed to trigger a pandemic.

In cases dating back to late April, three of the man's siblings, two nephews and two of his children became infected with the H5N1 virus.
 
I was afraid this is what the investigation would reveal. Oh my..
 
I'm reading a book about the 1918 pandemic right now. Scarier than any fictional horror book.
 

luvwinnie said:
I'm reading a book about the 1918 pandemic right now. Scarier than any fictional horror book.

Then pick up a book about the Swine Flu for a little balance.
 
Of this :guilty:

I feel we are so ill prepared. During a recent trip to England and a visit to a friend of mine in a tiny little village in the South of England it became evident to me that we here at least in Canada, are just not ready for this catastrophe. They have teams organized all over the U.K that are being trained to help should there be an outbreak in a timely and efficient manner. They know everything about their water supply and how long it will be safe and last, medication supplies ...what will be available and needed and where to get it, shelters and who will need those and so much more. I cannot fathom why we aren't all being better prepared.
 
That is VERY VERY scary ElizK...I am at a loss as to what to even imagine could happen :guilty:
 
The first person infected in a cluster of bird flu cases in a family in Indonesia may have come into contact with sick or dead chickens before possibly passing the virus on to relatives, a World Health Organization official said Thursday.

The woman grew vegetables and sold them in a market, which may have brought her into contact with infected poultry, said Steven Bjorge, a WHO epidemiologist in Jakarta. Investigators also haven't ruled out contamination from chicken feces that the woman used as garden fertilizer, he said.

Officials have not linked her family members to any possible exposure to the virus from birds, which has led them to believe that limited human-to-human transmission may have occurred.

Six of the seven family members who caught bird flu have died, the most recent on Monday. An eighth family member who died was buried before tests could be done, but she was considered to be among those infected with bird flu.

The deaths in the family cluster were the largest ever reported. The WHO has stressed the virus has not mutated into a version easily passed between people or shown any sign of spreading outside the family - all blood relatives who had very close contact with each other.

"We believe she may have had some contact either with dead or dying chickens in her household or through her activities as a vegetable grower and a seller in a market," Bjorge said of the first woman infected in the cluster.

He said a team of international health experts and villagers is closely monitoring the area where the family lived in northern Sumatra to ensure no one else experiences flu-like symptoms.

"We are very concerned about this large outbreak and we've taken it very seriously as has the government," Bjorge said. "We want to find out if there is any possibility of even one person having mild symptoms that might have been overlooked."

Local authorities have resisted working with outside health experts and many villagers blame black magic, not bird flu, for the deaths of the family members.

On Monday, a half-dozen protesters beheaded a chicken and drank its blood to show local authorities that poultry was not the source of the problem.

Tests for the H5N1 virus in birds in the village of Kubu Sembelang have all come back negative, baffling experts.

So far, most human cases have been traced to contact with infected poultry. But there is evidence of isolated cases of limited transmission between people in very close contact with each other.

Scientists are unsure how this has occurred, but they have theorized that the virus may pass from one person to another through droplets sneezed or coughed by humans into the air or food, onto surfaces or in some combination.

It has been suggested that some people may have a genetic susceptibility to the disease. In all four family clusters recorded so far, only direct blood relatives - not spouses - have caught bird flu.

Bjorge said the sick family members in Indonesia were in close physical proximity, which included sleeping close to each other.

"Even though so many people were tragically affected in this cases, it hasn't really changed the picture of avian influenza in Indonesia at this time," Bjorge said.

A top U.S. health official said Wednesday, however, that the Indonesian case may be the first time bird flu has been passed in a chain of transmission, with a person infected by a bird passing the virus to another person, who then went on to infect a third person or people.

Previous clusters all involved only one jump from person to person. Scientists are still investigating to see how many possible jumps the virus could have made in Indonesia.

Bird flu has killed 124 people worldwide, more than a quarter of them in Indonesia. Scientists fear the H5N1 virus will mutate into a highly contagious form, possibly sparking a global pandemic. So far, most human cases have been linked to infected birds.

WHO said it will leave its pandemic alert level unchanged at 3, where it has been for months, meaning there is "no or very limited human-to-human transmission."



Associated Press reporters Sam Cage and Alexander G. Higgins in Geneva and Mike Stobbe in Atlanta, Georgia, contributed to this report.



Copyright 2006 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed
 
I wonder if she somehow could have brought the virus in the house through her shoes or something. But what is interesting is to read that only blood relatives became ill, indicating a genetic predisposition. If ths virus has never been seen before, where did the predisposition come from?

I hope it doesn't turn pandemic but I have finally booked the Poly at the end of Spetember a ripe time for the pandemic to start, if you believe the flubies out there. Big Sigh...
 


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