ChrizJen
<font color=green>I am not a Koala Bear at the zoo
- Joined
- Jul 11, 2004
- Messages
- 4,650
I know it's a bit early to begin talking about the dreaded "H" word
, but I was thinking about last year
, and since we have a cruise booked for September, I decided to check for some predictions.
What I found seems a little hopeful for cruisers. They say that 2005 will most likely be an active hurricane season, BUT it looks like the outlook is better for the east coast of Florida. Looks like the predicted action is mostly on the Western part of Florida and Texas. I know that this isn't good news by any means. An active hurricane season is an active hurricane season no matter how you slice it. It's not a pleasant thing.
But it may be a less bleak outlook for Sept cruisers this year than it was last year. (it still doesn't look good for the Bahamas, though)
And if this report is wrong, (which it very well could be since it's still so early) then we'll just roll with the punches come September just like folks did last year.
Here's what I found from the Weather Research Center's website:
"Below is the forecast for the 2005 Hurricane Season. The table not only gives the OCSI percent risk of landfalling storms along the North America Coast but also gives the percent risk based on the average number of landfalls years for a particular section using the entire record 1871 to 1995."
"2005 OCSI FORECAST FOR THE ATLANTIC
COAST OCSI CLIMATOLOGY
Mexico 40% 40%
Texas 70% 51%
Louisiana to Alabama 50% 59%
West Florida 70% 71%
East Florida 30% 41%
Georgia to N. Carolina 60% 56%
East Coast of US 20% 36%
Gulf Oil Blocks 81% 88%
Bahamas 70%"
, but I was thinking about last year
, and since we have a cruise booked for September, I decided to check for some predictions. What I found seems a little hopeful for cruisers. They say that 2005 will most likely be an active hurricane season, BUT it looks like the outlook is better for the east coast of Florida. Looks like the predicted action is mostly on the Western part of Florida and Texas. I know that this isn't good news by any means. An active hurricane season is an active hurricane season no matter how you slice it. It's not a pleasant thing.
But it may be a less bleak outlook for Sept cruisers this year than it was last year. (it still doesn't look good for the Bahamas, though) And if this report is wrong, (which it very well could be since it's still so early) then we'll just roll with the punches come September just like folks did last year.
Here's what I found from the Weather Research Center's website:
"Below is the forecast for the 2005 Hurricane Season. The table not only gives the OCSI percent risk of landfalling storms along the North America Coast but also gives the percent risk based on the average number of landfalls years for a particular section using the entire record 1871 to 1995."
"2005 OCSI FORECAST FOR THE ATLANTIC
COAST OCSI CLIMATOLOGY
Mexico 40% 40%
Texas 70% 51%
Louisiana to Alabama 50% 59%
West Florida 70% 71%
East Florida 30% 41%
Georgia to N. Carolina 60% 56%
East Coast of US 20% 36%
Gulf Oil Blocks 81% 88%
Bahamas 70%"
, then the cruises won't be affected too much. Like you said, the captain can steer the ship clear of hurricanes. We may end up on a slightly different course than expected, but as long as I get 7 nights on a beautiful ship 


