Hurricane Ivan Thread (for updates, warnings, talk, etc) 9/9 11am update

[2angelsinheaven]

I wanted to start a thread to post the updates and projected paths to keep all of us informed in Florida and those who are coming to Fl. Maybe the mods will pick this up or start a new one as a sticky. Some of FL still has no television but may have power/phone back so this might help them keep track of everything in one place. I will start in 30 minutes by posting the 11am update. Till then everyone keep your eyes open and keep sending PD our way.

 

[Dax]

I tell you its never ending here in FL...Its really starting to get old...

 

[2angelsinheaven]

Atlantic Tropical Storm
Hurricane Ivan Advisory Number 29

Issued at: 10:51 AM AST 9/9/04 (gateway).




Extremely dangerous hurricane ivan heading for jamaica and the western caribbean sea,

At 11 am ast, the government of jamaica has issued a hurricane warning for jamaica.

A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning remain in effect for the entire southwest peninsula of haiti from the border of the dominican republic westward, including port au prince.

A hurricane watch remains in effect the cayman islands. A hurricane warning will likely be required for the cayman islands later today.

At 11 am ast, 1500z, the government of the dominican republic has issued a hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning for the barahona peninsula from barahona to perdenales. A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the southwestern coast of the dominican republic from palenque westward to barahona.

At 11 am ast, 1500z, the government of cuba has issued a hurricane watch for central and eastern cuba from the province of matanzas eastward.

At 11 am ast, 1500z, the hurricane warning for aruba, bonaire, and curacao and all warnings for venezuela and colombia have been discontinued.

Interests in central and western caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of dangerous hurricane ivan.

At 11 am ast, 1500z, the eye of hurricane ivan was located near latitude 14.5 north, longitude 71.4 west or about 430 miles, 695 km, east-southeast of kingston jamaica.

Ivan is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph 24 km/hr, and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this track the hurricane will be nearing jamaica on friday.

Ivan is a extremely dangerous category five hurricane on the saffir-simpson hurricane scale wit maximum sustained winds near 160 mph, 260 km/hr, with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles, 95 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles, 260 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 920 mb, 27.17 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels, along with large and dangerous battering waves, can be expected near the center of ivan in the hurricane warning area.

Rainfall amounts of 5 to 7 inches, possibly causing life- threatening flash floods and mud slides, can be expected along the path of ivan.

Repeating the 11 am ast position, 14.5 n, 71.4 w. Movement toward, west-northwest near 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 160 mph. Minimum central pressure, 920 mb.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 2 pm ast followed by the next complete advisory at 5 pm ast.

 

[Tiggerlover91]

Originally posted by Dax
I tell you its never ending here in FL...Its really starting to get old...

....VERY old

 

[2angelsinheaven]

Atlantic Tropical Storm
Hurricane Ivan Intermediate Advisory Number 29a

Issued at: 1:41 PM AST 9/9/04 (gateway).




Noaa hurricane reconnaissance plane shows that ivan continues to be extremely dangerous, heading for western caribbean sea,

A hurricane warning is in effect for jamaica.

A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning remain in effect for the entire southwest peninsula of haiti from the border of the dominican republic westward, including port au prince.

A hurricane watch remains in effect the cayman islands. A hurricane warning will likely be required for the cayman islands later today.

A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning remains in effect for the dominican republic from barahona to perdenales and a tropical storm watch from palenque westward to barahona.

A hurricane watch is in effect for central and eastern cuba from the province of matanzas eastward.

Interests in central and western caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of dangerous hurricane ivan.

At 2 pm ast, 1800z, the eye of hurricane ivan was located by a noaa reconnaissance plane near latitude 14.8 north, longitude 72.0 west or about 360 miles, 580 km, southeast of kingston jamaica.

Ivan is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph, 24 km/hr, and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this track the hurricane will be nearing jamaica on friday.

Ivan is a extremely dangerous category five hurricane on the saffir-simpson hurricane scale with maximum sustained winds near 160 mph, 260 km/hr, with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles, 95 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles, 260 km.

Latest minimum central pressure recently reported by a noaa reconnaissance aircraft was 923 mb, 27.26 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels, along with large and dangerous battering waves, can be expected near the center of ivan in the hurricane warning area.

Rainfall amounts of 5 to 7 inches, possibly causing life- threatening flash floods and mud slides, can be expected along the path of ivan.

Repeating the 2 pm ast position, 14.8 n, 72.0 w. Movement toward, west-northwest near 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 160 mph. Minimum central pressure, 923 mb.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

The next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 5 pm ast.

 

[cruisnfamily]

They are cautioning us on TV not to get too wrapped up in the exact track as there is still a huge margin of error. They have to see what happens with the highs and the lows and the "troughs"(sp?). I'll make sure I have some basic supplies on hand but I'm not going to start freaking out and losing sleep over this until about Saturday night when it's alot closer. DH says we're definitely boarding up for this one though. Everybody here(west coast south of Tampa) is pretty scared this time as we've skirted the bullet twice now.

Anyway, just get prepared and don't freak outcrazy: yet)

 

[PoohnPglet]

I just got back from Atlanta where I went to escape Frances. I guess I will just leave all the prep I did for Frances in place. I am mind-numblingly tired of hurricanes. I so hope that Ivan will go someplace else even though I don't want to wish it on anyone. (If that makes sense)

 

[Poohbear123]

Very, very, very OLD! Perhaps a Move to another State is needed.....

 

[Beauty]

It makes perfect sense.

We were in Orlando this time last week and left around 8p.m. to miss Frances.

I tell you it was sooo stressful on us driving in all that traffic, I can't imagine having to go through evacuations over and over and over.

My prayers and well wishes to all of you in Florida!

You know though, even with the Hurricanes if my DH walked in right now and said Lets move to Florida I would be there in a split second!

 

[Mom2Ashli]

Anywhere it hits land on Florida is going to be a worry. We already have damage on both East and West Coast. There are so many people still without power as of today from Frances.

We just can't handle anymore storms.

 

[kforbs126]

i have all of florida in my prayers, i am moving down there in a month and i'm a bit nervous, i have no family just a few friends, and we don't get hurricanes in ohio......but i honestly would rather deal w/ the hurricanes then with 6 months of cold and snow.....stay safe florida and everyone that's in the path of Ivan.

Kristin

 

[JimB.]

Maybe I'll get power back to my house just in time to get it the lines knocked down again. Day 5 = no water/power.

I'm having so much fun this month I can't stand it.

Not.

 

[2angelsinheaven]

Atlantic Tropical Storm
Hurricane Ivan Advisory Number 30

Issued at: 4:29 PM AST 9/9/04 (gateway).




Hurricane ivan heading for jamaica and the cayman islands,

A hurricane warning is in effect for jamaica.

At 5 pm, 2100z, the government of the cayman islands has issued a hurricane warning for the cayman islands.

A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning remain in effect for the entire southwest peninsula of haiti from the border of the dominican republic westward, including port au prince.

A hurricane watch and a tropical storm warning is in effect for the dominican republic from barahona to perdenales. A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the southwestern coast of the dominican republic from palenque westward to barahona.

A hurricane watch is in effect for central and eastern cuba from matanzas eastward.

Interests in central and western caribbean sea should closely monitor the progress of dangerous hurricane ivan.

At 5 pm ast, 2100z, the center of hurricane ivan was located by a reconnaissance plane near latitude 15.0 north, longitude 72.5 west or about 350 miles, 565 km, southeast of kingston jamaica.

Ivan is moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph, 24 km/hr, and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track the hurricane will be nearing jamaica on friday.

Although maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 150 mph, 240 km/hr, with higher gusts, ivan is a dangerous category four hurricane on the saffir-simpson hurricane scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles, 55 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 175 miles, 280 km.

Latest minimum central pressure reproted by an air force reconnaissance plane was 921 mb, 27.20 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels, along with large and dangerous battering waves, can be expected near the center of ivan in the hurricane warning area.

Rainfall amounts of 5 to 7 inches, possibly causing life- threatening flash floods and mud slides, can be expected along the path of ivan.

Repeating the 5 pm ast position, 15.0 n, 72.5 w. Movement toward, west-northwest near 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 150 mph. Minimum central pressure, 921 mb.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 8 pm ast followed by the next complete advisory at 11 pm ast.

 

[2angelsinheaven]

It's been six days since I've had power, phone or water in my home. So I've set up camp across town at my mom's home till my power is restored. FPL is telling me it will have an estimate by late this evening for a date of restoration. Since we have well water we won't have water till the power comes on, and our phone is through our Cable Modem so same there. Geesh we are reliant on power aren't we... I would have never survived the pre-electricity age...

On top of everything else we can't get perishable foods here yet, we did find some deli meat and my mom grabbed the last two boxes of hamburgers, but no fresh meats, frozen items, produce or dairy yet. Also gas is still touch and go, and the wait at restraurants is astronomical. No fun!

 

[gr8tpanther]

I have often thought that it would be nice to move to Florida, just for a change, I live in PA, nothing ever happens here... but I think that I would take nothing over hurricanes....

Stay safe!!

 

[Shutterbug]

For the Keys:
a mandatory evacuation order has been made for all visitors and non-residents. Owners of travel trailers and boat trailers should also remove their property from the keys at this time. Mobile home residents should prepare for evacuation beginning at 600 pm this evening. A phased evacuation of all residents in the Florida keys and flamingo may be initiated tomorrow. All residents that wish to leave today are encouraged to do so.

 

[Shutterbug]

Computer track models:

Tracks


Looks like a hit on the western coast of Florida or the panhandle

 

[currycook]

Still looking YUK YUK YUK

 

[PrincessDadx2]

My convention in Miami for Sun-Wed was just cancelled this morning and is to be rescheduled for next month.