JimMIA
There's more to life than mice...
- Joined
- Feb 16, 2005
- Messages
- 21,168
The NHC named the sixth tropical system of the year this morning -- Tropical Storm Felix. Felix is NOT expected to affect any part of Florida , although tropical systems can be unpredictable.
Felix passed over Grenada this morning, and the forecast track takes it on a very similar path to Hurricane Dean. The storm is a little south of where Dean was and is expected to pass over Aruba and Curacao, skirt the coast of Honduras and make actual landfall in Belize. All that, of course, is subject to change, but the larger scale weather features all favor that track and the computer models are in much more agreement than we usually see.
The intensity is very hard to predict at this point. Some models project a Cat 1 or 2 Hurricane, others show the storm struggling to maintain tropical storm intensity. We'll just have to see what happens with that.
But the important thing is, this storm is NOT expected to impact Florida (or any of the US, for that matter).
There is also another wave out there that may develop (Invest 98), but it's about 1700-1800 miles east of the Windward Islands, so it's far out of range at this time. However, this system is a little bit north of where Felix was, and that position alone makes it much more likely to affect Florida -- but not for quite a while, if ever.
Since neither of these systems pose any threat, I will not be doing updates -- just wanted to reassure folks that these were not an issue, since a lot of people with vacations planned freak out when they hear the name of a tropical storm announced. Most people don't realize that Grenada, for example, is almost 1800 miles from Miami, and more than 2,000 miles from WDW.
Felix passed over Grenada this morning, and the forecast track takes it on a very similar path to Hurricane Dean. The storm is a little south of where Dean was and is expected to pass over Aruba and Curacao, skirt the coast of Honduras and make actual landfall in Belize. All that, of course, is subject to change, but the larger scale weather features all favor that track and the computer models are in much more agreement than we usually see.
The intensity is very hard to predict at this point. Some models project a Cat 1 or 2 Hurricane, others show the storm struggling to maintain tropical storm intensity. We'll just have to see what happens with that.
But the important thing is, this storm is NOT expected to impact Florida (or any of the US, for that matter).
There is also another wave out there that may develop (Invest 98), but it's about 1700-1800 miles east of the Windward Islands, so it's far out of range at this time. However, this system is a little bit north of where Felix was, and that position alone makes it much more likely to affect Florida -- but not for quite a while, if ever.
Since neither of these systems pose any threat, I will not be doing updates -- just wanted to reassure folks that these were not an issue, since a lot of people with vacations planned freak out when they hear the name of a tropical storm announced. Most people don't realize that Grenada, for example, is almost 1800 miles from Miami, and more than 2,000 miles from WDW.
