I was on the fence on buying into
DVC, and here's somewhat how I went about convincing myself...DW was convinced a loooonggg time ago.
Looking at the minimum number of points to buy in at (150), I multiplied that out by 40 years and came up with the possibility of utilizing up to 6000 points over the life of the membership. Dividing that by the $12,000 you are paying in, and it costs you about $2 a point over the lifetime of the membership.
Now...take that $2 multiply it by 150 and you come up with a base $300. In reality if you are staying in a studio for a week during a value season, which we are in now with these discounts, you would only need to utilize 106 points at say BCV or BWV. That comes out to a base of $212. Add in the $590 for dues for the year and you come out with approximately $900 for a weeks stay.
At $150/night for a week at a Deluxe, you are getting a smaller room with no kitchenette for $1,050.
I may be off base here, but the logic seems sound.
In any event, I am certain that there probably always will be discounts available, that's just the nature of the industry, but will they be at this level??? Probably not.
If you're not willing to use DVC every other year at the minimum, you should probably think long and hard about buying in. I have perused these boards night and day talking with people, and have even talked with some DVC members in person at a local
Disney Store. I have yet to run into someone that really disliked DVC.
I was worried about the state of Disney as a company as well before making the purchase. Heck...I own stock in the company that is now worth less than 1/2 of what I paid for it. Will Disney survive? More than likely YES. Will they be the same company, probably not. In the coming months and years you will probably see Disney in the news quite a bit with selling off some stuff, and maybe buying into other things to try out different niches. Will Disney still own WDW and
Disneyland in 30-40 years as one previous poster asked? I can't believe that they wouldn't, after all these were Walt's dream concepts!! Now...I could see the Paris and/or Asian parks possibly finding new ownership if the state of affairs gets too desparate, but we are nowhere near that yet. Let's just see what happens in the next couple of years.
Just my $.02