Election day predictions? (not a debate..)

[charlie,nj]

I feel President Bush is going to win BIG!

I say he will win the popular vote by 15,111,212..
the electoral vote will NOT be close..

IMHO

May the best man win!

Get out and vote



PS - if I am wrong I am changing my user name.

 

[danacara]

Charlie, darlin, hate to break it to you, but we'd still know your posts by your humor, even after you changed your name to "nadine nv" or something like that to mask your identity.

I predict Bush will win the popular vote 53%-47%, Kerry takes PA, NJ, HI, and maybe MN, Bush takes FL, OH, and most of the other swing states for a decisive win. I think people will enter the voting booths and make a gut call for the status quo, mostly for reasons of national security.

I hear the vegas line on a 269-269 electoral vote tie is currently 18-1?

 

[Kitty 34]

I'm sure the man I don't vote for will win!!!

 

[bubie2.5]

"nadine nv"

I'm sorry, I'm not good with numbers. I just hope we know who the winner is before 2005.

 

[JoeThaNo1Stunna]

My prediction is Bush wins popular, electoral tie, the House gives it to Bush.

 

[dmadman43]

Originally posted by JoeThaNo1Stunna
My prediction is Bush wins popular, electoral tie, the House gives it to Bush.

That's my preferred outcome as well.

Kerry's 10,000 maniacs...er.. I mean...lawyers... make me think we are in for a long drawn out nightmare.

 

[bsnyder]

My prediction:

Bush 294 EV's
Kerry 242 EV's

U.S. Senate:

Net 3 seats for the GOP (including Mel Martinez in FL)

 

[jennyanydots]

I'm going with the astrologers and the Redskins...a Kerry victory.

like father, like son?


seriously, though...I expect Kerry to take the Electoral College by a slim margin. this will be due to all those new voters who just registered -- people are more likely to vote the first time to make a change, not to keep the status quo.

and seriously, charlie, even if Bush does win tomorrow, it certainly won't be any kind of huge win which would justify his beleif that he's got a mandate from the people. what Bush hasn't learned in his first term is that he has to govern from the center, not from the right.

 

[Therapeutic Smile]

Kerry 279
Bush 259

This includes Bush taking Florida, Virginia, Missouri, Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada... but Kerry snagging Ohio, Minnesota, Wisconisn and Penn.

The popular vote, as we learned in 2000, is meaningless, so I haven't thought enough about a "prediction" there.

 

[dmadman43]

Originally posted by jennyanydots
I'm going with the astrologers and the Redskins...a Kerry victory.

like father, like son?


seriously, though...I expect Kerry to take the Electoral College by a slim margin. this will be due to all those new voters who just registered -- people are more likely to vote the first time to make a change, not to keep the status quo.

and seriously, charlie, even if Bush does win tomorrow, it certainly won't be any kind of huge win which would justify his beleif that he's got a mandate from the people. what Bush hasn't learned in his first term is that he has to govern from the center, not from the right.

and if Kerry wins, he will have the same mandate problem. I think he will be less capable of governing from the center. I given kudos to Clinton, he was masterful at that. I don't think Kerry can pull it off. Which is why I'm not all that concerned about a Kerry victory. Never underestimate the power Congress has to hamstring a President. Kerry will have a VERY tough time getting his domestic agenda implemented if elected.

 

[charlie,nj]

hmmm... "nadine nv" wait maybe I better change my prediction to ...Nader will come in third..

Get out and VOTE!

 

[palmtreegirl]

I have no clue, I do think that it won't be as close as everyone's expecting though.

 

[jennyanydots]

Originally posted by dmadman43
and if Kerry wins, he will have the same mandate problem. I think he will be less capable of governing from the center. I given kudos to Clinton, he was masterful at that. I don't think Kerry can pull it off. Which is why I'm not all that concerned about a Kerry victory. Never underestimate the power Congress has to hamstring a President. Kerry will have a VERY tough time getting his domestic agenda implemented if elected.

you're right -- Kerry won't have a mandate. but Clinton managed with a Republican Congress, Kerry's worked in the Senate for 20 years, and I think he might manage.

 

[dmadman43]

Originally posted by jennyanydots
you're right -- Kerry won't have a mandate. but Clinton managed with a Republican Congress, Kerry's worked in the Senate for 20 years, and I think he might manage.

Kerry showed up in the Senate for 20 years. I wouldn't classify what he did as work, as he really didn't accomplish anything of note in his 20 years. Hell, when the country needed him most, the last 2 years he didn't even show up for Senate Intelligence Committee meetings.

 

[CLynnJones]

Originally posted by palmtreegirl
I have no clue, I do think that it won't be as close as everyone's expecting though.

I agree. I think Kerry will win by a fairly wide margin.

 

[jennyanydots]

Originally posted by dmadman43
Kerry showed up in the Senate for 20 years. I wouldn't classify what he did as work, as he really didn't accomplish anything of note in his 20 years. Hell, when the country needed him most, the last 2 years he didn't even show up for Senate Intelligence Committee meetings.

Kerry's record is a lot more extensive than you suggest.

something I noticed -- while everyone in the country was affected by 9/11, those of us in Washington DC and NYC -- the epicenter, if you will -- seem to favor Kerry by a considerable majority. can it be that we don't feel safe with Bush?

well, we'll see how he does as commander in chief come january 20.

 

[dmadman43]

Originally posted by jennyanydots
Kerry's record is a lot more extensive than you suggest.

something I noticed -- while everyone in the country was affected by 9/11, those of us in Washington DC and NYC -- the epicenter, if you will -- seem to favor Kerry by a considerable majority. can it be that we don't feel safe with Bush?

well, we'll see how he does as commander in chief come january 20.

I'm happy to see the evidence.

I can't explain the passage of time erasing the memory of the events of 9/11 and it's resultant consequences.

As long as you've researched the candidates and are confident that you can put your trust in a potential CiC that doesn't have the support of the majority of the military, I guess I can't argue.

 

[ThAnswr]

Kerry 52%
Bush 47%
Nadar 1%

With the required number of electoral votes to put Kerry in the WH.

 

[luvthatduke]

Bush will win,
and I don't think it's going to be as close
as the pundits & pollsters are calling it tonight.

 

[charlie,nj]

bump it up