Do I need to plan for rain?

Juliek8

Earning My Ears
Joined
Oct 19, 2021
Messages
34
Will be in the parks next week....yay! I'm excited for the temperatures ( it's already 100° here in AZ) but I see small chances for rain. Do I need to plan for rain or is 18% low enough to not worry to much? We usually go in December or January. May/June is new for me. Thanks!!


Screenshot_20230526_055211_Weather.jpg
 
I would not worry too much, but if it does rain enjoy the empty parks! Los Angelinos do not mess around with rain. 🤣
 
I would not worry too much, but if it does rain enjoy the empty parks! Los Angelinos do not mess around with rain. 🤣
We thought so too, but went in February during one of the really rainy stretches and the park was packed full of soggy people. It was miserable to be wet and waiting in long lines!
 

We thought so too, but went in February during one of the really rainy stretches and the park was packed full of soggy people. It was miserable to be wet and waiting in long lines!

Really? That's surprising. One time I was there on a pretty drizzly day and it was a ghost town! Maybe it's the difference between the locals and the tourists.

That's also when I learned that DL has drainage problems - but, it's SoCal so they don't deal with it much. At WDW, driving showers and thunderstorms are practically daily.
 
THat rain chance will be gone by morning!
Thanks! That's what I was hoping!! So excited about the mid 60 temps just don't want to be rained on...at least not a lot. We went on a day in January that it poured alllll day. It was miserable! We're so excited!!!
 
I would not think twice about that forecast for rain. If anything it will be a little misty or drizzly. And that will be mainly early morning until the marine layer burns off. This is not the type of rain that will go on for hours or be heavy!
 
I would not think twice about that forecast for rain. If anything it will be a little misty or drizzly. And that will be mainly early morning until the marine layer burns off. This is not the type of rain that will go on for hours or be heavy!

Agreed ^

California doesn't really get big storms and most of our "heavy" rain is in January. Outside of then it's mostly at night and if it is during the day it's just drizzly. AK at WDW has been the worst rain I've ever seen at a Disney park and it rains every year we go. I honestly don't know that I've ever visited DL when it did anything more than drizzle.
 
Really? That's surprising. One time I was there on a pretty drizzly day and it was a ghost town! Maybe it's the difference between the locals and the tourists.

That's also when I learned that DL has drainage problems - but, it's SoCal so they don't deal with it much. At WDW, driving showers and thunderstorms are practically daily.
From what I understand that used to be true, but is no longer the case since Covid. I've never been lucky enough to get a rain day on any of my trips (starting as a kid in 1982 lol).
 
Agreed ^

California doesn't really get big storms and most of our "heavy" rain is in January. Outside of then it's mostly at night and if it is during the day it's just drizzly. AK at WDW has been the worst rain I've ever seen at a Disney park and it rains every year we go. I honestly don't know that I've ever visited DL when it did anything more than drizzle.

There is technically a monsoon pattern happening. There was a MASSIVE thunderstorm/downpour in Pasadena last Saturday evening. These can pop up in the late afternoon/evening even in Anaheim.

However, the more likely scenario is overnight drizzle and cloudy, cool days with occasional drizzle. It has been drizzling on and off throughout the day here for a week.
 
So, woke up this morning to clouds, and shockingly, there were same day reservations available for BOTH parks as of 9:30am for a party of 3. I was about to make one, but when I went to ask my kids if they wanted to go, they said not today. About an hour later, it began drizzling steadily and it continued for like 5 hours. It finally stopped. Glad we didn't go. Maybe it didn't rain at Disneyland, but our streets were full on wet almost all morning/early afternoon.

I just saw a long range summer forecast for Southern CA and it's calling for a minor heat wave around the third week of June, but otherwise an extensive May Gray/June Gloom pattern all summer with lower than average temperatures and increased rain chances due to numerous expected Pacific hurricanes off the coast of Mexico.
 
So, woke up this morning to clouds, and shockingly, there were same day reservations available for BOTH parks as of 9:30am for a party of 3. I was about to make one, but when I went to ask my kids if they wanted to go, they said not today. About an hour later, it began drizzling steadily and it continued for like 5 hours. It finally stopped. Glad we didn't go. Maybe it didn't rain at Disneyland, but our streets were full on wet almost all morning/early afternoon.

I just saw a long range summer forecast for Southern CA and it's calling for a minor heat wave around the third week of June, but otherwise an extensive May Gray/June Gloom pattern all summer with lower than average temperatures and increased rain chances due to numerous expected Pacific hurricanes off the coast of Mexico.
The Weather Channel predicts a warm but cooler than normal summer but not hot and the chance of monsoon type rain and some rain from hurricanes but they said the chance of many hurricanes happening is low. They noted not a lot of rain but a lot more clouds with sun.

Here is a (conflicting) story from the LA Times:

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2023-05-23/this-summer-expected-to-be-hotter-than-average-for-california-experts-predict#:~:text=NOAA say the probability of,is 33% to 50%.&text=Californians can expect hotter-than,will be warmer than normal.

I suspect not a hot summer but warm and dry summer. Perfect for visiting DL.
 
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The Weather Channel predicts a warm but cooler than normal summer but not hot and the chance of monsoon type rain and some rain from hurricanes but they said the chance of many hurricanes happening is low. They noted not a lot of rain but a lot more clouds with sun.

Here is a (conflicting) story from the LA Times:

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2023-05-23/this-summer-expected-to-be-hotter-than-average-for-california-experts-predict#:~:text=NOAA say the probability of,is 33% to 50%.&text=Californians can expect hotter-than,will be warmer than normal.

I suspect not a hot summer but warm and dry summer. Perfect for visiting DL.

The weather Channel also predicted a dry, warm winter. They were very, very wrong. TWC is about as unreliable as a toddler at predicting weather patterns. I follow a meteorologist with a much better track record.
 
So, woke up this morning to clouds, and shockingly, there were same day reservations available for BOTH parks as of 9:30am for a party of 3. I was about to make one, but when I went to ask my kids if they wanted to go, they said not today. About an hour later, it began drizzling steadily and it continued for like 5 hours. It finally stopped. Glad we didn't go. Maybe it didn't rain at Disneyland, but our streets were full on wet almost all morning/early afternoon.

I just saw a long range summer forecast for Southern CA and it's calling for a minor heat wave around the third week of June, but otherwise an extensive May Gray/June Gloom pattern all summer with lower than average temperatures and increased rain chances due to numerous expected Pacific hurricanes off the coast of Mexico.

We went today and it was cloudy and humid in the morning, slightly misty for a little bit and the humidity broke, then it got sunny for a while. It also got much more crowded as the clouds broke up so maybe people went later because it looked so gray. Overall pretty nice DL weather :)

A cooler than usual summer would be just fine by me!
 
The weather Channel also predicted a dry, warm winter. They were very, very wrong. TWC is about as unreliable as a toddler at predicting weather patterns. I follow a meteorologist with a much better track record.
Ha ha, I bet I know who you follow. He’s weird but he’s always spot on! 😂
 
The weather Channel also predicted a dry, warm winter. They were very, very wrong. TWC is about as unreliable as a toddler at predicting weather patterns. I follow a meteorologist with a much better track record.
I am not defending the TWC. Nor I am looking to get into an argument. I include d the TWC forecast as a courtesy. NOLA says warmer than normal. Accuweather says cooler in June and July then warmer. The Farmers Almanac says warmer.

https://abc7.com/heat-summer-2023-southern-california-heatwave/13296471/

https://www.accuweather.com/en/weat...weather-breaks-down-the-2023-forecast/1519281

As to " I follow a meteorologist with a much better track record." Independent Meteorologist Michael Mojarro, A trusted source for Southern California microclimate weather forecast for 25years&counting! Perhaps?

https://original.newsbreak.com/@sou...n-california-will-most-of-the-heat-be-avoided

https://twitter.com/SoCalweathernet

socalweatherman.com

According to Michael:


"If you are new and do not trust my long range, read the following article on my El Nino forecast update and the links within it showing past forecast verifications - https://www.southerncaliforniaweath...at-the-equator-with-strong-el-nino-projected/

Yeah and I know a lot of people see these long-range forecasts and say 'yeah right' they were wrong last time. You're right, NOAA and all outlets are always wrong because they do not know what they are doing in the long range or what to even look for. All other sources are predicting a hotter than normal summer. So once again, I am opposite of those."
 
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