Disney/Pixar's Elio

[BrianL]

This depends on how many people buy tickets in advance and how many people buy tickets day of or the day before. It just seems strange to be talking about the opening weekend box office when it hasn't even happened yet.

The movie industry engages heavily in predictive research called tracking. They're not alwyas right, but they can make some pretty educated guesses. Sometimes moveis surprise them though, or, like Elemental, seem like a failure at first but have a slow burn with long legs. Anything is possible.

Elio does have 82% on Rotten Tomatoes, which isn't bad. Personally, I don't understand why everyone keeps trashing it preemptively, especially on here were people are likely to lake something like that. I mean, if you like Pixar movies, and this looks like any other Pixar movie, then why avoid it. Maybe it won't be the greatest thing ever, but I'm willing to give it a shot.

 

[HokieRaven5]

Elio does have 82% on Rotten Tomatoes, which isn't bad. Personally, I don't understand why everyone keeps trashing it preemptively, especially on here were people are likely to lake something like that. I mean, if you like Pixar movies, and this looks like any other Pixar movie, then why avoid it. Maybe it won't be the greatest thing ever, but I'm willing to give it a shot.

It’s more an original basically needs to be exceptionally received for general audiences to have a chance at tuning in to it in this new realm of box office.

I’ll see it next week because I want to keep supporting more original story making and not adaptations/remakes.

 

[HokieRaven5]

Also Deadline is reporting the budget was $150M, not the clickbait spread $300M

https://deadline.com/2025/06/box-office-preview-28-years-later-elio-1236436173/

 

[Kit Jackson]

Also Deadline is reporting the budget was $150M, not the clickbait spread $300M

https://deadline.com/2025/06/box-office-preview-28-years-later-elio-1236436173/

I think marketing usually costs almost as much as the budget, so for a movie to make a profit, it has to make back more than twice the budget. $300M is the total cost (budget+marketing), so the movie would have to make more than that to break even. I can understand why $300M is the figure being mentioned.

 

[DodgerGirl]

Personally I think Elio will knock the live-action How To Train Your Dragon out of the #1 spot and claim #1 when it has it's first week in theaters but they seem to have a lot of hope for Elio by having more trailers for it

 

[HokieRaven5]

I think marketing usually costs almost as much as the budget, so for a movie to make a profit, it has to make back more than twice the budget. $300M is the total cost (budget+marketing), so the movie would have to make more than that to break even. I can understand why $300M is the figure being mentioned.

In the past yes. Lately advertising costs haven’t been as high as the production costs.

Likely Elio’s marketing budget is at most $100M and probably less with how minimally they’ve pushed the movie

 

[BrianL]

In the past yes. Lately advertising costs haven’t been as high as the production costs.

Likely Elio’s marketing budget is at most $100M and probably less with how minimally they’ve pushed the movie

Yeah, but still, double the total is the rule of thumb, including marketing. That's just a general baseline - movie finance is a bit more complicated than that, but that's the point where it is considered "successful."

 

[HokieRaven5]

Yeah, but still, double the total is the rule of thumb, including marketing. That's just a general baseline - movie finance is a bit more complicated than that, but that's the point where it is considered "successful."

Yes, it is the general rule of thumb.

Snow White’s marketing was $70M on a $250M+ budget, Cap 4 around $100M on $180M, Stitch $100M on $100M so it’s been more varied on percentage of budget but more closely to $100M per film

The $300M presented previously was only listed as production budget and didn’t include advertising.

 

[BrianL]

Yes, it is the general rule of thumb.

Snow White’s marketing was $70M on a $250M+ budget, Cap 4 around $100M on $180M, Stitch $100M on $100M so it’s been more varied on percentage of budget but more closely to $100M per film

The $300M presented previously was only listed as production budget and didn’t include advertising.

No, I meant that they have to double the production budget plus P&A - the total. It's not P&A that requires them to double it.

People often think that if a movie makes it's budget back then it was a success, but the people who fronted the money want to make profit! They didn't invest only to break even. If you tell me that you want me to loan you ten bucks and you'll give me back 20, then come back to me later and pay me back 10 - I didn't lose money but I'm still not happy.

 

[HokieRaven5]

No, I meant that they have to double the production budget plus P&A - the total. It's not P&A that requires them to double it.

People often think that if a movie makes its budget back then it was a success, but the people who fronted the money want to make profit! They didn't invest only to break even. If you tell me that you want me to loan you ten bucks and you'll give me back 20, then come back to me later and pay me back 10 - I didn't lose money but I'm still not happy.

Got it, thought you were talking about the budget not how much it needed to make.

But yeah safest general rule is making around double at the box office to ensure profitability long term. Theres the unknown of how much it generates on PVOD and the revenue cut from Streaming/TV Licensing which obviously varies from movie to movie.

 

[BrianL]

Got it, thought you were talking about the budget not how much it needed to make.

But yeah safest general rule is making around double at the box office to ensure profitability long term. Theres the unknown of how much it generates on PVOD and the revenue cut from Streaming/TV Licensing which obviously varies from movie to movie.

Hit movies actually make the most from the TV rights, but they have to be a hit first for the TV stations to be interested in them.

 

[HokieRaven5]

Elio does have 82% on Rotten Tomatoes, which isn't bad. Personally, I don't understand why everyone keeps trashing it preemptively, especially on here were people are likely to lake something like that. I mean, if you like Pixar movies, and this looks like any other Pixar movie, then why avoid it. Maybe it won't be the greatest thing ever, but I'm willing to give it a shot.

Up to 87% on RT and a 66 on Metacritic

By comparison Elemental was 73% on RT and 58 on Metacritic

IO2 was 91% on RT and 73 on Metacritic

We shall see if audiences show up. Original space oriented animated films outside of Wall-E don’t have a ton of success

 

[Obi-J Kenobi]

Up to 87% on RT and a 66 on Metacritic

By comparison Elemental was 73% on RT and 58 on Metacritic

IO2 was 91% on RT and 73 on Metacritic

We shall see if audiences show up. Original space oriented animated films outside of Wall-E don’t have a ton of success

Bought/reserved my tickets today for tonight's 7:10 p.m. showing at my local theater just a short while ago. My DW wants to see Elio and we head to the parks very soon so we thought maybe the parks will be doing a meet and greet or something like that and she wants to be in the know.

The entire theater was open for reserving seats at this particular screening, about 6 hours before showtime was to commence.

 

[BrianL]

I decided to go this evening - I'll let everyone know what I think.

 

[sailorstitch]

I just got back from seeing Elio.

I LOVED IT!!!!!

It has some similarities to Lilo and Stitch. In the same way Elemental is similar to Zootopia.

I don't want to post any spoilers, but if people would just give it a chance it would do very well. However, with it being up against two very popular remakes... and the economy what it is... the odds aren't good.

 

[BrianL]

I just got back from seeing Elio.

I LOVED IT!!!!!

It has some similarities to Lilo and Stitch. In the same way Elemental is similar to Zootopia.

I don't want to post any spoilers, but if people would just give it a chance it would do very well. However, with it being up against two very popular remakes... and the economy what it is... the odds aren't good.

Agreed.

IT IS FANTASTIC!

 

[Carole]

Would a 3 and 5 year old enjoy it?

 

[BrianL]

Would a 3 and 5 year old enjoy it?

Maybe. It might start off a little slow for one that age, but once the aliens are around it might do better. It's definitely one of those Pixar "hit you int he feels" type movies. There are some harrowing scenes too, but nothing too scary - some aliens have some teeth and all. It may depend on the kids, but if they have liked other Pixar stuff, it's about in that mold.

 

[Obi-J Kenobi]

Saw it last night. Elio was fine.

The story was good. The script was okay. Music felt off. The execution was poor. A majority of the movie felt like it was made in the center 3rd of the screen and it wasn't captivating artistry. I am not an artistic person (and someone can correct me if I am wrong) but I thought that one of the important hallmarks of photography was to try to capture images outside the middle third to make it more interesting or pleasing to the eye. Oh well, what do I know.

My DW and I and 2 others were the only people in the theater. It was a 7:10 screening for previews. Large theater too. Sad turnout for the local cinema.

 

[Obi-J Kenobi]

Would a 3 and 5 year old enjoy it?

If they like laughs, Elio isn't particularly funny. Out of the 4 people who were in the theater, DW and I were the only persons that laughed. I laughed at two scenes. My DW laughed at one scene.

If they like emotional, Elio tries to be emotional and the writing is below average throughout the film and is really strong at the end of the film. The ending kind of saves the movie in my opinion.

The film's story is grounded in trauma. This is an adult topic. A person can certainly have a discussion with children about trauma. Fred Rogers, for instance, was a master of speaking to children about adult topics. It's hard for me to know how kids will react and remain interested in a story about trauma.

The adventure doesn't really work very well. It was boring.

The movie is okay. Its fine. Not a top-tier Pixar movie. Not a bottom of the barrel Pixar film either. I don't think the vast majority of the movie-going audience will regret seeing it in the theater. I won't likely watch it again though when it drops on D+.