Dennis now a Hurricane

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

Issued at: 7:50 PM EDT 7/6/05 (gateway).


Dennis continuing to become better organized to the east-southeast of jamaica,

A hurricane warning remains in effect for jamaica, the southwestern peninsula of haiti from the dominican republic border westward, and portions of eastern cuba for the provinces of granma, santiago de cuba, and guantanamo.

A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A hurricane watch is in effect for the cayman islands and for portions of central and eastern cuba, for the provinces of sancti spiritus, ciego de avila, camaguey, las tunas, and holguin. A hurricane warning will likely be issued for the cayman islands later tonight.

At 8 pm edt, 0000z, the government of the dominican republic has discontinued the tropical storm warning for the southern coast of the dominican republic. However, strong squalls will continue tonight and may produce wind gusts to 40 mph.

Interests in the central and western caribbean sea should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 8 pm edt, 0000z, the center of hurricane dennis was located near latitude 16.3 north, longitude 72.9 west or about 280 miles, 455 km, east-southeast of kingston jamaica and about 295 miles, 470 km, south-southeast of guantanamo bay cuba.

Dennis is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph, 20 km/hr, and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track, dennis will pass over or just east of jamaica by thursday afternoon.

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph, 130 km/hr, with higher gusts. This makes dennis a category 1 hurricane on the saffir-simpson scale. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours, and dennis could become a category 2 hurricane before it reaches jamaica on Thursday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles, 35 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles, 165 km.

The minimum central pressure recently measured by an air force reserve reconnaissance aircraft was 984 mb, 29.06 inches.

Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over southern hispaniola, jamaica, eastern cuba, and the cayman islands. Isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible over the mountainous terrain of jamaica. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

Repeating the 8 pm edt position, 16.3 n, 72.9 w. Movement toward, west-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 80 mph. Minimum central pressure, 984 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 11 pm edt.

 

[disneyholic family]

oh oh......

 

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

Issued at: 7:44 AM EDT 7/7/05 (gateway).


Dennis strengthens to 105 mph,

A hurricane warning is in effect for the southwestern peninsula of haiti from the dominican republic border westward, all of jamaica, all of the cayman islands, and portions of eastern cuba for the provinces of granma, santiago de cuba, and guantanamo.

A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A hurricane watch remains in effect for portions of central and eastern cuba for the provinces of sancti spiritus, ciego de avila, camaguey, las tunas, and holguin.

The hurricane warning and the hurricane watch for cuba will likely be extended westward later this morning.

Interests in the central and western caribbean sea should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 8 am edt, 1200z, the center of hurricane dennis was located near latitude 17.5 north, longitude 74.9 west or about 130 miles, 205 km, east-southeast of kingston jamaica and about 165 miles, 265 km, south of guantanamo cuba.

Dennis wobbled toward the northwest around 10 mph, 16 km/hr, over the past few hours, but a generally west-northwestward motion near 13 mph, 20 km/hr, is expected during the next 24 hours. On this track, dennis is expected to be over or very near jamaica later today.

Reports from an air force hurricane hunter plane indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 105 mph, 165 km/hr, with higher gusts. Dennis is now a category two hurricane on the saffir-simpson scale. Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles, 35 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles, 205 km.

Latest minimum central pressure reported by an air force reserve hurricane hunter plane was 968 mb, 28.58 inches.

Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over southern hispaniola, jamaica, eastern cuba, and the cayman islands. Isolated maximum amounts of 15 to 20 inches are possible over the mountainous terrain of jamaica. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

Repeating the 8 am edt position, 17.5 n, 74.9 w. Movement toward, northwest near 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 105 mph. Minimum central pressure, 968 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 11 am edt.


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[Obi Wan Kenobi]

OK, Now he is starting to affect Florida Keys:-

Issued at: 10:38 AM EDT 7/7/05 (gateway).


Hurricane watch for the Florida keys, tropical storm watch for the southern Florida peninsula,

At 11 am edt, 1500z, the government of cuba has extended the hurricane watches and warnings westward. A hurricane warning is now in effect for the provinces of matanzas, villa clara, cienfuegos, sancti spiritus, ciego de avila, camaguey, las tunas, granma, santiago de cuba, and guantanamo. A hurricane watch is now in effect for the remaining provinces of cuba including the isle of youth, pinar del rio, la habana, ciudad de la habana, and holguin.

A hurricane warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

At 11 am edt, a hurricane watch is issued for all of the Florida keys and Florida bay. Also at 11 am edt, a tropical storm watch is issued for all of the southern Florida peninsula from golden beach southward on the east coast and south of bonita beach on the west coast.

A hurricane or tropical storm watch means that hurricane or tropical storm conditions, respectively, are possible within the watch area, generally within 36 hours.

A hurricane warning is in effect for the southwestern peninsula of haiti from the dominican republic border westward, all of jamaica, and all of the cayman islands.

Interests in the central and western caribbean sea should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 11 am edt, 1500z, the center of hurricane dennis was located near latitude 18.0 north, longitude 75.6 west or about 80 miles, 125 km, east of kingston jamaica and about 155 miles, 250 km, south of guantanamo cuba.

Dennis is moving toward the northwest near 13 mph, 20 km/hr, and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this track the center will be passing very near jamaica this afternoon and evening.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph, 165 km/hr, with higher gusts. Dennis is a category two hurricane on the saffir-simpson scale. Some strengthening is forecast, and dennis could become a major hurricane within the next 24 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles, 75 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles, 220 km.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 968 mb, 28.59 inches.

Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over southern hispaniola, jamaica, cuba, and the cayman islands. Isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible over the mountainous terrain of jamaica. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

Storm surge flooding of 5 to 7 feet above normal tide levels, along with large and dangerous battering waves, are likely in areas of onshore winds near the center. A much larger storm surge of 12 to 14 feet is possible along the southern coast of cuba from camaguey westward.

Repeating the 11 am edt position, 18.0 n, 75.6 w. Movement toward, northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 105 mph. Minimum central pressure, 968 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 2 pm edt followed by the next complete advisory at 5 pm edt.


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[Thea]

From CNN

"At 11 a.m. ET, a hurricane watch was issued for all of the Florida Keys and Florida Bay. In addition, a tropical storm watch was issued for all of the southern Florida Peninsula from Golden Beach southward on the east coast and south of Bonita Beach on the west coast.

To prepare for the hurricane's arrival in the United States, a mandatory evacuation was ordered Thursday for all nonresidents in the Florida Keys, said Monroe County, Florida, Senior Emergency Manager Billy Wagner.

Trailer and recreational vehicles; campgrounds and state parks were being evacuated as well."


And we'll be in Florida a little less than a week from now and going to the Keys before Disney....


Thea

 

[AlanUK]

Dennis's predicted path has swung further East as of today bringing it closer to the Florida gulf coast than was originally predicted. Conditions are very favourable for Dennis to Strengthen further possibly as high as a category 3 hurricane. One of the models (which has a good track record) predicts Dennis will cross Cuba and the western Florida Keys before tracking up the western coast of Florida. The winds are also currently strongest in the NE quadrant which is not good news.

Latest model predictions for Dennis....

 

[wicket2005]

Thanks for the info.

 

[paulh]

depending on the bemuda high it might take the same path as charley did last year
Paulh

 

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

Issued at: 4:40 PM EDT 7/7/05 (gateway).


Dennis now a major hurricane, hurricane warnings issued for the lower Florida keys,

At 5 pm edt, 2100z, a hurricane warning is issued for the lower florida keys from the seven mile bridge westward to the dry tortugas, and a tropical storm warning is issued for the remainder of the Florida keys, east of the seven mile bridge to ocean reef and Florida bay. A hurricane watch remains in effect for the florida keys east of the seven mile bridge to ocean reef and florida bay.

A hurricane warning is in effect for the provinces of matanzas, villa clara, cienfuegos, sancti spiritus, ciego de avila, camaguey, las tunas, granma, santiago de cuba, and guantanamo. A hurricane watch is in effect for the remaining provinces of cuba including the isle of youth, pinar del rio, la habana, ciudad de la habana, and holguin.

A hurricane or tropical storm warning means that hurricane or tropical storm conditions, respectively, are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the hurricane warning area.

A tropical storm watch is in effect for all of the southern Florida peninsula from golden beach southward on the east coast and south of bonita beach on the west coast.

A hurricane or tropical storm watch means that hurricane or tropical storm conditions, respectively, are possible within the watch area, generally within 36 hours.

A hurricane warning is in effect for the southwestern peninsula of haiti from the dominican republic border westward, all of jamaica, and all of the cayman islands.

Interests in the central and western caribbean sea should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 5 pm edt, 2100z, the center of hurricane dennis was located near latitude 19.0 north, longitude 76.6 west or about 90 miles, 145 km, southeast of cabo cruz in southeastern cuba and about 125 miles, 200 km, southwest of guantanamo cuba.

Dennis is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph, 24 km/hr, and this motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this track the center will pass very near cabo cruz tonight, and be very near the southern coast of central cuba on Friday.

Reports from an air force hurricane hunter plane indicate that dennis has continued to strengthen, and maximum sustained winds are now near 115 mph, 185 km/hr, with higher gusts. Dennis is a dangerous category three hurricane on the saffir-simpson scale. Some additional strengthening is forecast before the center reaches central cuba.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 45 miles, 75 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles, 220 km.

An air force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 957 mb, 28.26 inches.

Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over haiti, jamaica, cuba, and the cayman islands. Isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible over the sierra maestra mountains of southeastern cuba. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

Storm surge flooding of 5 to 7 feet above normal tide levels, along with large and dangerous battering waves, are likely in areas of onshore winds along the southeast coast of cuba east of cabo cruz. A much larger storm surge of near 20 feet is possible along the southern coast of cuba west of cabo cruz. A storm surge of 3 to 6 feet is possible in the lower Florida keys.

Repeating the 5 pm edt position, 19.0 n, 76.6 w. Movement toward, northwest near 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds,

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[Obi Wan Kenobi]

Issued at: 1:52 AM EDT 7/8/05 (gateway).


Severe hurricane dennis battering eastern cuba, eye back over water paralleling the south coast of cuba,

A hurricane warning is in effect for cuba for the provinces of la habana, ciudad de la habana, matanzas, villa clara, cienfuegos sancti spiritus, ciego de avila, camaguey, las tunas, granma, santiago de cuba, holguin and guantanamo. A hurricane watch remains in effect for the isle of youth and pinar del rio.

A hurricane warning is in effect for the lower Florida keys from the seven mile bridge westward to the dry tortugas. A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch is in effect for the remainder of the Florida keys, east of the seven mile bridge to ocean reef and Florida bay.

A tropical storm warning is in effect along the Florida west coast south of bonita beach, and along the Florida east coast south of golden beach. A tropical storm watch is in effect along the florida west coast north of bonita beach to longboat key.

A hurricane warning remains in effect for all of jamaica and all of the cayman islands. Warnings in jamaica will likely be cancelled later this morning.

A hurricane or tropical storm warning means that hurricane or tropical storm conditions, respectively, are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the hurricane warning area.

A hurricane or tropical storm watch means that hurricane or tropical storm conditions, respectively, are possible within the watch area, generally within 36 hours.

Interests in the eastern gulf of mexico should monitor the progress of dennis.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 2 am edt, 0600z, the eye of hurricane dennis was located over water by a noaa reconnaissance plane near latitude 20.3 north, longitude 78.5 west, or 80 miles, 125 km south-southwest of camaguey and about 135 miles, 215 km, southeast of trinidad cuba.

Dennis is moving toward the northwest near 15 mph, 24 km/hr and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours. On this track, the eye of dennis will reach central cuba later today.

Maximum sustained winds are near 135 mph, 215 km/hr, with higher gusts. Dennis is a category four hurricane on the saffir-simpson scale. Some additional strengthening is possible while the center of dennis remains over water.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 50 miles, 85 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles, 220 km. Camaguey, cuba reported a wind gust of 67 mph, 107 km/hr a few hours ago.

Minimum central pressure just reported by a reconnaissance plane was 955 mb, 28.20 inches.

Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches over extreme southern Florida and the Florida keys, with 5 to 10 inches over haiti, jamaica, cuba, and the cayman islands. Isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches are possible over the sierra maestra mountains of southeastern cuba. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

Storm surge flooding of 5 to 7 feet above normal tide levels, along with large and dangerous battering waves, are likely in areas of onshore winds along the southeast coast of cuba east of cabo cruz. A much larger storm surge of near 20 feet is possible along the southern coast of cuba west of cabo cruz. A storm surge of 3 to 6 feet is possible in the lower Florida keys.

Repeating the 2 am edt position, 20.3 n, 78.5 w. Movement toward, northwest near 15 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 135 mph. Minimum central pressure, 955 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the

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[disneyholic family]

that last track looks ok...

i just looked at the tracking website and i think it shows it getting in line with Tampa on saturday night at 8 PM....which is good for me, since we only get there sunday morning......i'll keep my fingers crossed...

 

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

It depends on how quick it moves and what track it takes when it leaves the coast of Cuba and gets into open water again. That's where it can pick up strength
If you fo to this page
http://weather.mgnetwork.com/cgi-bi...hurricane/storms/tracker.html&hwvStorm=WTNT44
and view satellite picture version, its got quite a large mass, three times bigger than Florida!

 

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

Issued at: 4:46 AM EDT 7/8/05 (gateway).


To correct hurricane name,

Dangerous hurricane dennis fury aims at central and western cuba,

A hurricane warning is in effect for cuba for the provinces of la habana, ciudad de la habana, matanzas, villa clara, cienfuegos, sancti spiritus, ciego de avila, camaguey, las tunas, granma, santiago de cuba, holguin and guantanamo. A hurricane watch remains in effect for the isle of youth and the province of pinar del rio. A hurricane warning remains in effect for the cayman islands.

A hurricane warning is in effect for the lower Florida keys from the seven mile bridge westward to the dry tortugas. A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch is in effect for the remainder of the Florida keys, east of the seven mile bridge to ocean reef and Florida bay.

A tropical storm warning is in effect along the Florida west coast south of bonita beach, and along the Florida east coast south of golden beach. A tropical storm watch is in effect along the florida west coast north of bonita beach to longboat key.

At 5 am edt, 0900 utc, the hurricane warning for jamaica has been discontinued.

A hurricane or tropical storm warning means that hurricane or tropical storm conditions, respectively, are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the hurricane warning area. A hurricane or tropical storm watch means that hurricane or tropical storm conditions, respectively, are possible within the watch area, generally within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the western caribbean sea, Florida, and the eastern gulf of mexico should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 5 am edt, 0900z, the eye of hurricane dennis was located near latitude 20.7 north, longitude 79.1 west or about 275 miles, 440 km, southeast of havana cuba and about 320 miles, 515 km, south-southeast of key west Florida.

Dennis is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph, 26 km/hr. This motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track, the eye of dennis will reach central cuba later today.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 135 mph, 215 km/hr, with higher gusts. Dennis is a category four hurricane on the saffir-simpson scale. Some additional strengthening is possible before landfall in cuba.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 50 miles, 85 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles, 220 km.

Minimum central pressure reported by a noaa reconnaissance plane was 950 mb, 28.05 inches.

Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over cuba, with local 15 inch amounts over the sierra maestra mountains of southeastern cuba. Rainfall of 4 to 8 inches is expected over extreme souther Florida, jamaica and the cayman islands. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

Storm surge flooding of 5 to 7 feet above normal tide levels, along with large and dangerous battering waves, are likely in areas of onshore winds along the southeast coast of cuba east of cabo cruz. A much larger storm surge of near 20 feet is possible along the southern coast of cuba west of cabo cruz. A storm surge of 3 to 6 feet is possible in the lower Florida keys.

Repeating the 5 am edt position, 20.7 n, 79.1 w. Movement toward, northwest near 16 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 135 mph. Minimum central pressure, 950 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 8 am edt followed by the next complete advisory at 11 am edt.

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[Muffy]

We arrive in Orlando on sunday. Thanks for the info on Dennis!

 

[disneyholic family]

that's impressive...the question is, what is the wind speed in the outer areas....since that's what will be over florida....

i'll keep praying for it to speed up and get to louisiana ASAP....once it hits louisiana it'll lose strength quickly....

 

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

that's impressive...the question is, what is the wind speed in the outer areas....since that's what will be over florida....

i'll keep praying for it to speed up and get to louisiana ASAP....once it hits louisiana it'll lose strength quickly....

I would imagine that the people in Lousiiana would beg to differ with you!

the problem for Orlando is the flooding risk. the local news channels are already showing lakes and run offs full of water before the rain form the Hurricane comes along. Its been the wettest June in years it seems

 

[disneyholic family]

I would imagine that the people in Lousiiana would beg to differ with you!

the problem for Orlando is the flooding risk. the local news channels are already showing lakes and run offs full of water before the rain form the Hurricane comes along. Its been the wettest June in years it seems

and to say excessive rain in orlando is saying a lot....even in a dry year they have enough to keep Noah busy...

 

[lucy_love_]

dh is working out there at the mo. hes on a ship so they are going to head towards texas. hes keeping me updated all the time about the hurricane as its effecting the job hes on and most importantly their safety.

lucy

 

[paulh]

orlando should be ok heard that they are not rolling back the shuttle and the launch is not delayed yet
Paulh

 

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

Issued at: 4:44 PM EDT 7/8/05 (gateway).


Major hurricane dennis lashing central cuba, New watches and warnings issued for the united states.



A hurricane warning is in effect for cuba for the provinces of la habana, ciudad de la habana, matanzas, villa clara, cienfuegos, sancti spiritus, ciego de avila, camaguey, las tunas, granma, santiago de cuba, holguin and guantanamo. A hurricane watch remains in effect for the isle of youth and the province of pinar del rio. Eastern portions of the hurricane warning area will likely be discontinued later tonight.

A hurricane warning is in effect for the lower Florida keys from the seven mile bridge westward to the dry tortugas. A tropical storm warning and a hurricane watch are in effect for the remainder of the Florida keys, east of the seven mile bridge to ocean reef and Florida bay.

At 5 pm edt, 2100z, a hurricane watch has been issued for portions of the northeastern gulf coast from the steinhatchee river westward to the mouth of the pearl river.

At 5 pm edt, the tropical storm warning along the Florida west coast has been extended northward to anclote key. A tropical storm warning is now in effect along the Florida west coast from anclote key southward, and along the Florida east coast from golden beach southward.

At 5 pm edt, a tropical storm watch has been issued along the florida west coast from north of anclote key northward to east of the steinhatchee river.

A hurricane or tropical storm warning means that hurricane or tropical storm conditions, respectively, are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the hurricane warning area. A hurricane or tropical storm watch means that hurricane or tropical storm conditions, respectively, are possible within the watch area, generally within 36 hours.

Interests elsewhere in the western caribbean sea, Florida, and the eastern gulf of mexico should monitor the progress of this system.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 5 pm edt, 2100z, the center of hurricane dennis was located near latitude 22.6 north, longitude 81.1 west or about 95 miles 150 km, east-southeast of havana cuba and about 145 miles, 235 km, south-southeast of key west Florida.

While some wobbling has continued to occur, as is typical of a major hurricane, dennis is expected to generally move toward the northwest near 17 mph, 28 km/hr. On this track, the center should emerge off the north-central coast of cuba this evening.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 135 mph, 215 km/hr, with higher gusts. Although dennis is still a category 4 hurricane on the saffir-simpson scale, some additional weakening is forecast as dennis moves over cuba. However, dennis is expected to remain a major hurricane as it emerges over the straits of florida and the southeastern gulf of mexico this evening.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 65 miles, 100 km, from the center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles, 260 km. Earlier this afternoon as dennis made landfall along the south-central coast of cuba, a sustained wind of 99 mph, 160 km/hr, with a gust wind gust to 149 mph, 240 km/hr, was measured in cienfuegos, and extensive damage was also reported.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 949 mb, 28.02 inches.

Dennis is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over cuba, with local 15 inch amounts. These rains could produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Rainfall of 4 to 8 inches is expected over the Florida keys and southern Florida.

Storm surge floodi

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