Originally posted by penguins_fan
...(snip).... I see no reason why points can't be determined for any cruise in the 11 month window, especially since the DCL cash prices for cruises through April 04 have been available for months.
The points probably can be determined right now, but my theory is that you may not like the result. The number of points to cruise is negotiated between DCL and
DVC. IMHO, it depends a lot on what DVC thinks it can get in cash by renting DVC accomodations.
There have been some pretty steep discounts (compared to past years) ofered for on site accomodations, including the DVC resorts. This started about the time of 9/11/01 and is continuing through at least the end of 2002. I think that is one major reason why the cost of the Disney Collection options took such a steep increase for 2002. Becasue of the discounts, DVC has had to rent more DVC rooms to recover the cost of Members' cruises.
I do not think the discounts will last forever. In fact, I wonder if the pace isn't already slowing down. Even though there are some AP rates out for January and the first part of February, there haven't been any codes for the general public released yet. I find that a bit unusual as many times this year, the codes were out in advance of the AP rates.
It's to the DVC Members advantage to have few cash discounts available for DVC rooms. If our rooms rent out mostly at rack rate, the point cost of our non-DVC options should go down. It might be better for us (DVC Members) to wait to see if on site discounts will continue or at least slow down. IF we negotiate right now, you may have to pay more points than if we negotiate later.
All the above is JMHO. YMMV. I hope you find out the points in time to use the 11 month window. Good luck!