Crowd Calendar

FLCA026

Mouseketeer
Joined
Jun 26, 2019
Messages
339
What is the best crowd calendar for Disneyland? I have seen lately that Touring Plans predictions have been off. Yesterday it was raining here but I see it predicted a 5 and it was an 8! It just surprised me.
 
I believe Disney's reservation system has trashed all of the past crowd calendars.
I feel the best thing to check is the Magic Key Calendars to see their blocked dates.
I would book and go when the most MK's are blocked if that is possible with your schedule.
 
I believe Disney's reservation system has trashed all of the past crowd calendars.
I feel the best thing to check is the Magic Key Calendars to see their blocked dates.
I would book and go when the most MK's are blocked if that is possible with your schedule.
Precisely. In addition to MK blockouts, also look at single day ticket prices. The higher they are, the lower the crowds. Given the local demographics, a large number of people still buy single day tickets and the price structure has clearly moved attendance to lower cost days. The single day cost goes from $206 to $106. That's $400 for a family of 4.

Because of MK blocks and single day prices, this makes a month like July very good crowd wise.

The one variable is ticket deals, with the biggest one to watch out for being the SoCal kids ticket deals as cheap as $50 per day. One of these just ended.
 

Hahaha! I'm serious. Do people gauge it by number of people in the park throughout the whole day, or at a particular time during the day? Is a measure of attraction wait times? Or some other factor?

Today was a busy day with unofficial gatherings. It was both TikiLand Day and Bat's Day. This weekend was also Filipino weekend at Disneyland. The Filipino group had events in DL yesterday as well as a special breakfast at Great Maple and events in DCA today. Those events draw more locals than people from out of town. So much that according to WDWNT, the Mickey & Friends parking structure (>10K cars) reached capacity before 3 pm PST today.
 
Hahaha! I'm serious. Do people gauge it by number of people in the park throughout the whole day, or at a particular time during the day? Is a measure of attraction wait times? Or some other factor?
It's all a guess based on what historical data they have and they prey on people who don't go often or first timers. I don't know if Touring Plans still does it but years ago, they would show their guess and then a day or so after, they would post the "actual". One year, we went during Spring Break expecting high crowds and TP had a 9 for Animal Kingdom. We went to AK and it rained all day creating walk-ons for almost everything. The next day, they reported "actual" was a 9. It made me question their whole model and legitimacy.
 
Thanks for the explanation. If one is looking at a crowd calendar, check out what they are estimating for July 17 this year. If they don't have high crowds listed then they aren't paying attention to what they are doing.
 
It's all a guess based on what historical data they have and they prey on people who don't go often or first timers. I don't know if Touring Plans still does it but years ago, they would show their guess and then a day or so after, they would post the "actual". One year, we went during Spring Break expecting high crowds and TP had a 9 for Animal Kingdom. We went to AK and it rained all day creating walk-ons for almost everything. The next day, they reported "actual" was a 9. It made me question their whole model and legitimacy.
Yes they still do that and the last few times it was way off. It did start out good in the morning and by afternoon it definitely changed.
 
@fla026, yesterday was also Girl Scout Bridging in DCA. They do it before the park opens but a lot of GS and their families stay around and enjoy the parks afterwards.
 
@fla026, yesterday was also Girl Scout Bridging in DCA. They do it before the park opens but a lot of GS and their families stay around and enjoy the parks afterwards.
I guess you don’t know all the special groups that are there.
 



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