Attention Coastal Residents: Here comes Wilma!

[Donalds_best_pal]

Well,

Looks we will be now tied in 1st place with 1933 with the most active season on record. The newest tropical depression is currently being inspected. I am in on conference calls with NHC and they will be issueing a Special Tropical Cyclone Statment shortly. Scary thing is, models bring it to a Cat 5 with 898 mb pressure with 165 mph winds just west of cuba! Then bring it north and northeast towards west coast of florida. Very scary if models hold true. They were very good with long term forecast of Katrinia so stay tuned!

Here comes Wilma

Matt

 

[MsDisney23]

 

[Southern4sure]

Well,

Looks we will be now tied in 1st place with 1933 with the most active season on record. The newest tropical depression is currently being inspected. I am in on conference calls with NHC and they will be issueing a Special Tropical Cyclone Statment shortly. Scary thing is, models bring it to a Cat 5 with 898 mb pressure with 165 mph winds just west of cuba! Then bring it north and northeast towards west coast of florida. Very scary if models hold true. They were very good with long term forecast of Katrinia so stay tuned!

Here comes Wilma

Matt

What part of the west coast?

 

[Donalds_best_pal]

To early to tell. But Tampa is big risk right now! Basically from Naples northward. I am doing internship with Tampa Bay's 10 for high school sincee weather is huge hobby of mine. I will keep you informed since I am in on NHC conferences. But SouthernforSure, I would check back often. Tampa was hit by a Cat 3 in 1921 and just so happened to be around October 23. Thats when the models have it hitting florida.

Scary! We use a program that runs the storm and calculates based on other storms in the area it formed, timeframe and condtions and then says where it will go.

(% chance of storm coming within 60 miles of the following points)
Tampa:68%
Ft Myers:54%
Naples:56%
Pensacola to Florida's Big Bend:61%
Miami:48%

Matt
I will update those when programs updates

 

[Rozzie]

The northern Gulf temp is 76 degrees now, isn't that getting a little unfavorable for major hurricane status??

 

[Rozzie]

I think I am going to throw up...

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/210447.shtml?5day

 

[safetymom]

It is still too early to tell what the storm is going to do.

 

[Virgo10]

As the storm is only moving 3 mph at present, I would think any long term prediction would have a high probability of error. Still is certainly something to keep an eye on. The local TV weather people out of Tampa are looking for it to jog north around Thursday and then maybe back toward the west heading for Texas. They had it at a Cat 2 when it starts the north turn.

Good luck everyone in this area. Stay informed!

 

[TDC Nala]

On the NOAA website, I see Tropical Depression 24, which is somewhere down between Jamaica and Belize. I don't see anything going anywhere near Tampa.