Anyone made it through (or not made it through) ROFR recently? - Section I

[OnMedic]

Bkrs

I agree. I was actually suggesting a web database that any of our fellow DIS'ers can view, search and filter. We can also add our ROFR to the database ourselves.

I have made this suggestion on another thread just today!

Cheers,

 

[vascubaguy]

I was starting to do some comparison to the data awhile back and put it in excel.... what I found... is there is no formula that will result in what will or won't pass ROFR. There are offers that we think should pass ROFR with no problem, but it gets ROFR'd. Then there are those that we don't think would ever make it thru, yet it does!

I had thought about maybe trying to move it into a database (maybe even an online database), but I just haven't sat down to do it.

 

[JimC]

I was starting to do some comparison to the data awhile back and put it in excel.... what I found... is there is no formula that will result in what will or won't pass ROFR. There are offers that we think should pass ROFR with no problem, but it gets ROFR'd. Then there are those that we don't think would ever make it thru, yet it does!

I had thought about maybe trying to move it into a database (maybe even an online database), but I just haven't sat down to do it.

You are missing some key variables -- demand by resort and use year for add-on points. I suspect that is why your models are giving you mixed results.
Also you need use year and point status (bank, borrow, current, holding) in the model.

 

[vascubaguy]

Well, I decided to play around with the baseportal free database service and created an online database there. It only includes those who have either passed or have been ROFR'd, so we'd still keep the waiting list here. I think anyone can go on and add to the database, but you'd have to let me know if you need to update for some reason.

Check it out and let me know what you think. I haven't explored all of the features or played around with it much. When I get a little more time to play, I'll see how I can improve it.

Click below... then if you want, you can use the "search" to sort by those that PASSED, or were ROFR'd... or you can search by Resort.
DVC Resale ROFR History Database

 

[AlaskaMOM]

Thanks for all the work you've done, it looks good. Especially like seeing the individual resorts broken down.

 

[LisaS]

Great job, vascubaguy! It really helps to have the data sorted in resort order. Thanks for doing this.

 

[WithDisneySpirit]

Hey vascubaguy! Very nifty Also, it may help you to know that Beca has dropped many contracts that used to be listed on the thread from the beginning because the list was getting unwieldly. You might want to go to the beginning and skip every ten pages or so and you will see contracts purchased and ROFRed even late last year

 

[JimMIA]

Interesting.

I have one suggestion -- don't lose it in the lights. Keep in mind what the original objective of this exercise is -- helping people pass ROFR.

I'd keep the entire listing here, as Beca has done for the duration...and then provide the link to your database. I think the database is very helpful to people who feel comfortable sorting and filtering, but many people aren't. There are also a lot of people who won't even realize they are supposed to click on the link. Those folks will look here, not see anything of value, and wonder what all the fuss was about.

Also, with regard to Beca dropping the earlier data, there is another reason why it makes sense to do that. ROFR is a constantly moving target, and what happened six months ago is probably not relevent today.

While a larger body of data might be intellectually interesting, a lot of things have changed in the last few months, and including old data may actually hurt people buying now.

People are not looking for statistical data, they are looking for the price they need to pay today to clear ROFR. My $73 at OKW passed in Feb, but if you think you'll pass today at that price, you are probably living in a dream world.

 

[vascubaguy]

It can be simplified some and provide more links that already have the data broken down. Then all that has to be done is click on a link, rather than having to search thru stuff. Example:

Beside each resort below are 2 links. One is a link to contracts for that resort that Passed ROFR, the other a link for those that were ROFR'd.

BCV: PASSED ROFR'd

BWV: PASSED ROFR'd

HHI: PASSED ROFR'd

OKW: PASSED ROFR'd

SSR: PASSED ROFR'd

VB: PASSED ROFR'd

VWL: PASSED ROFR'd

Click HERE to enter your contract info
***But only if you have been notified that it has passed ROFR or has been ROFR'd***Thanks!!!

 

[BkrsLoveDis!]

Interesting.

I have one suggestion -- don't lose it in the lights. Keep in mind what the original objective of this exercise is -- helping people pass ROFR.

I don't think anyone's intention here is to replace the hard work already being done here but to enhance it for anyone who wants that info. I am a bona-fide math geek and being able to put this info into a database and chart it to look for patterns helps me through my thought process (even if the only conclusion is that there is no answer other than look at what happened "yesterday") as I try to add on additional contracts.

Maybe I'm the only geek out there who runs the numbers a thousand times before they buy but on the off chance that I'm not, I hope another one out there gets something out of this too.

Cyn

 

[doubletrouble_vb]

Historical data might be helpful it is viewed in light of what the Disney price was at the time. I also would think it would be helpful in terms of determining the best time of year to buy...or sell. I've noticed what may be a pattern in demand but there are no numbers out there to help me figure out exactly what that pattern is.

I also understand the point about posting recent ROFR data in this list so it is easy to spot.

 

[beezerdave]

Well, the paperwork is definately in to Disney as of 8/19. The deal is for OKW 60 pts, Sept. UY @ $70.00 a point. All points available Sept. 2005. I'll post that info in the other thread as well. Wish me luck! Will let you know what happens.

 

[gothmommie]

We are trying again...

200 SSR points @ 81 per pt, August UY,
All 2006 pts. available, 56 2005 pts. available.
Buyer paying 2005 maint. fees on 56 pts and closing costs of $525.

I expect it won't be submitted to Disney for another week or so as we JUST bid.

Wish us luck please....

 

[vascubaguy]

Congratz to both, and good luck to both!!!

beezerdave I really hope that one goes thru for you. They let a 25 ptr go thru at $70 so there's a chance.

 

[Martinvols]

250 points at BCV and 225 points at HH. It's great to be home!!!

 

[vascubaguy]

250 points at BCV and 225 points at HH. It's great to be home!!!

CONGRATZ!!!!!!

 

[ishouldbegolfing]

We made it!

Found out today our contract passed ROFR. What a releif!

 

[vascubaguy]

Congratz to you too ishouldbegolfing!!! The major hurdle is over... now the wait to close! Won't be much longer now!

Congratz again, and still good luck to those still in waiting.

 

[Cam2Mike]

Just got notified that we passed ROFR - it only took two weeks
OKW-150PTS - $78 pt, bank included 68 04 pts, 150 05 points, feb use year.

Yeah...can't wait to book make my first reservation..already have my plane tickets!!

a side question..can someone help me out with all the abbreviations (not the resort names)..dh,dd,etc...

 

[LisaS]

Just got notified that we passed ROFR - it only took two weeks
OKW-150PTS - $78 pt, bank included 68 04 pts, 150 05 points, feb use year.

Yeah...can't wait to book make my first reservation..already have my plane tickets!!

a side question..can someone help me out with all the abbreviations (not the resort names)..dh,dd,etc...

Congratulations!!

Here is a link to a list of DIS abbreviations: http://www.wdwinfo.com/abbreviations.htm