Miss Jasmine said:
Personally, I wouldn't be worried.
From reading the court transcripts on web the management thinks RLA (Railway Labor Act) would apply, Judge doesn't. This situation hasn't ever happened before. RLA usually applies when contracts need to be renewed. Here a contract would be revoked.
The Bankruptcy judge can choose between managements,creditors or union's proposals but not craft their own. In the Hawaiian situation the Judge chose the Unions proposal.
So if the management and Union come to agreement or if the Judge picks the unions proposal I don't think there would be a strike. If anything else happens there probably still wouldn't be a strike but the company would be hemorraghing pilots so quickly that it would be worse than a strike. At least a strike could be resolved. Once pilots have resigned they are gone forever.
Pilots are "current" for one type of airplane and retested yearly. So if pilots are leaving the training for replacements would not be as simple as for replacing mechanics. Maybe the management has plans to farm out flying to other airlines until they stabilize. The assest shifting Lorenzo did with Eastern couldn't happen here because Song was never granted a separate operating certificate.
The pay scale proposed by company would be so low after drastic earlier concessions (to avoid bankruptcy) and the almost certain loss of most of pension benefits (because of bankruptcy) that the pay could be easily replaced. DH has applied for GS 13 federal jobs, the pay would be equal and he would be home at night. He would apply for State Police jobs but he is too old. He envies his brother, the cop in NJ making 90 k w/overtime! If we both work fulltime it will replace his airline pay. And if he has a nonairline job it will be easier for me to work fulltime.
My friend's husband dreams of being an airline pilot as he works as a nondegreed engineer for a medical device company. He is a flight instructor on the weekend. With the management proposed pay he would have to take a major cut to be an major airline pilot and would NEVER make as much again. Don't think it is going to happen!
The regional airlines have gotten away with low pay because their pilots were trying to get the flight time so they could apply for a well paying major airline job. Sort of like moving in pay from the minor sports leagues. One of DH's Delta classmates had worked for 12 years for a small commuter airline with a side job as a fastfood assistant manager. Two of DH's Delta classmates quit before training was finished to take higher paying jobs.
These are all my own opinions from being married to a Delta pilot and knowing many Delta pilots and other airline's pilots and ex airline pilots.