Another "what would you do?"

[Tatebeck]

On the other hand though, you also have fewer total points in circulation past 2042 as a result of those resorts expiring.

For example, in 2042 SSR owners theoretically will no longer have to compete with BWV, BCV, and BRV owners at the 7 month mark to get into the monorail resorts. But, then again, you also have fewer resorts for those who own at the monorail resorts to trade into at 7 months as well lol. It'll be interesting to see what happens.

Fewer total points??? Compared to when?

If you are referring to total tradeable points compared to the day before those resorts expire then I guess that is technically true.

But compared to the tradeable points today? No way.

Around 5 and 1/2 resort will close in 2042. 3 and 1/2 of them being WDW resorts. All tradeable to the original resorts.

DVC just started selling Poly Tower points, CFW points, and LSL points are in the pipeline. That's 3 DVC projects right there that, once sold in the future, almost completely offset the 3 and 1/2 WDW resorts closing in 2042 already. Not to mention VDH that recently opened and the points they have left at the Riviera and Aulani.

That is even before considering the various other DVC projects I am sure they have in the pipeline between now and 2042. Disney seems to be leaning more towards DVC vs Hotels now as it helps guarantee that rooms are filled. They have opened various DVC properties but no hotels in recent years. Do you not think that they will continue to make new DVC resorts? And if they just turn around and resell points to BCV, BWV, and BRV after a refurb in 2042 those will likely be restricted resorts now that can trade into the same resorts that SSR resale can trade into but not allow resale SSR to trade into their newly resold points.

So ANY direct points that are sold for the next 17 years and beyond will be to the detriment of SSR SAP owners.

I would bet quite a lot of money than the number of points sold will be more than the points lost from the 5 and 1/2 resorts that will be closing/recycled in 2042.

It may get steadily worse until 2042 and then get a tiny bit better until more points are sold/resold post 2042. Or it could just get steadily worse the whole time. Either way I wouldn't want to be holding a bunch of SSR SAP points approaching/past 2042

 

[marmentrout85]

Fewer total points??? Compared to when?

If you are referring to total tradeable points compared to the day before those resorts expire then I guess that is technically true.

Yep, that's all I was attempting to convey. The day after those resorts expire there will be X fewer points in circulation at that time.

 

[tom1944]

Yep, that's all I was attempting to convey. The day after those resorts expire there will be X fewer points in circulation at that time.

Is it the general feeling that after 2042 people will only be able to stay at the resort they own?

 

[Brian Noble]

I would not expect so, but it might require larger units or more expensive views.

 

[marmentrout85]

Is it the general feeling that after 2042 people will only be able to stay at the resort they own?

I wouldn't go that far, although this does seem like it will be the case for non-grandfathered CCV resale owners from 2066-2068 lol.

But yeah, for resale-only owners like myself, it theoretically should become increasingly more difficult to book at other results over time for reasons @Tatebeck has previously laid out (assuming nothing changes as far as restrictions go). I'd imagine that even 1BR availability has the potential to become a bit tricky during peak times, but who knows. I guess I don't worry about it too much though since we bought where we want to stay.