I attended the 3/22 event and had a pretty good time. However, I think we did things a bit different and didn't have very high expectations. Which probably isn't the right attitude to have since we paid extra for the event, but that's how we felt.
We arrived around 7:30, got something to eat and went shopping in Batuu.
I don't have exact time stamps but the best I can remember and tell from picture time stamps:
The wait times were looking really high around 8:20, so we got in line for TSMM and waited about 15 minutes.
Walked onto Star Tours.
Got in line for MMRR around 9 and waited maybe 15 minutes.
Walked to TOT and just beat the end of the first Fantasmic, it was almost a walk on but we still had to wait out the pre-show. We were thinking to ride it again when we were done, but I think Fantasmic had let out and the line was really long right before 9:30. On our way back to Toy Story land we noticed that Donald and Daisy were meeting by the projection area inside the fence around 9:45. The park was still really crowded at this point. We saw the line for MMRR spilled outside the door. Which was a big nope for us. Must have been people jumping in line right before 9:30.
We did TSMM again and waited about 5 minutes. We were off around 10:30 and saw Bo Peep was meeting so we met her.
We then walked around Batuu. This was a surprising highlight of the night, Batuu was very empty and most of the shops were open. There were actually more CMs inside Dok's than guests. It was so nice to be able to actually see things inside the shops without being elbow to elbow. We also chatted with Vi Moradi, a character who was walking around outside.
It was around 11 and we did another TT which was a walk on.
11:30 we noticed Donald and Daisy were out of their fence and were walking around so we met them. We did notice they were running the projection show on the front of the Chinese theater building.
We did another MMRR and only waited about 5 minutes, we walked right into the pre-show room.
Around 11:50 we stopped to watch the green army men perform a drum show in Toy Story Land.
Walked onto TSMM again.
It was around 12:10 at this point. Slinky still looked to have about a 20 minute wait and we wanted to end with Rise so we headed there. The wait for Rise still ended up being a little over half an hour.
We got out of the event at 1:10.
We never did have to wait for drinks or snacks, we ended up getting one box of popcorn, multiple waters, probably 3 cokes and a sprite. We got one strawberry bar, two ice cream sandwiches and we put 4 mickey ice cream bars in a lunchbox with freezer packs (I don't want any judgment, I was getting my money's worth).
So in all we met 3 characters, saw part of the projection show, watched the Green Army Men's drum show. We rode TT x1, TSMM x2, Rise x1, MMRR x1
Before the event started we did TTMM x1, MMRR x1, TOT x1, ST x1
We probably could have easily rode Falcon but aren't huge fans, and we've run into a couple times where the wait is twice as long as stated and we just don't trust the wait time on that.
At the end of the day, I think my view was really clouded by how empty the park was in the last couple hours. We are local and the parks have been insanely crowded for just about forever, so it was wonderful to be able to walk without dodging people and to have an empty park. We also like Slinky, but aren't huge fans so missing that wasn't a big deal for us. But I can see how others would expect to be able to reasonably ride both Rise and Slinky and not spend half the event doing that.
Slinky and Rise waits were pretty long most of the night, those ones are easy to tell the waits because you can judge the line since you can see it. At one point early in the event the line for Rise was even still outside. TSMM, ST, Saucers and MMRR were short waits for the majority of the event. TOT joined the short wait club after the giant line around 9:30 due to the Fantasmic exiters cleared out.
I do think the late Fantasmic show and the extended half hour did affect the event in a negative fashion. I'm not really sure of the wisdom of giving day guests one measly extra half hour when it negatively impacts the special event that much. We saw the direct effect of that extra half hour with TOT and how the line exploded with people exiting the first Fantasmic and getting one more ride in.
For people attending in the future, the strategy I would definitely go with would be to ride the less popular rides first like TSMM, ST and MMRR. Save TOT for after the first Fantasmic crowd clears. Spend some time walking around Batuu if you enjoy that area at all. It was so pleasant. I would probably try to ride Slink around 45 minutes before event close, then just get in line for Rise a bit before event end.