Disney Co. earnings will shed light on outlook for Disney World
posted by Jason Garcia on Jul 30, 2009 2:15:36 PM
The Walt Disney Co. will report fiscal third-quarter earnings just after 4 p.m. this afternoon, which will show just how tightly Walt Disney World and the rest of the company's theme parks are being squeezed by the recession -- and, perhaps, give an indication of how much longer it will continue.
Wall Street analysts widely expect attendance Disney to report that attendance at its U.S. resorts held steady or even rose slightly during the April-through-June period when compared with the same quarter last year. That's in part because of the heavy discounts Disney has been offering travelers and in part because of the favorable timing of the busy Easter holiday (April this year, March last year).
Of course, those discounts will weigh on Disney's bottom line. Citi Investment Research predicts total revenue at Walt Disney Parks and Resorts shrank 16.6 percent during the quarter and operating profit tumbled 34.5 percent; RBC Capital Markets predicts declines of 12.4 percent and 28.2 percent, respectively.
"We're looking for parks to be hardest hit [among the Disney Co.'s major segments] by the economic weakness despite the recent promotional activity," Citi analyst Jason Bazinet wrote in an earnings preview.
More importantly, Disney executives should provide some clues about whether they expect conditions to improve this fall or winter. Look for details such as future booking patterns or attendance and guest-spending trends.
Disney's report "should shed some light on consumer spending at worldwide parks," Tuna Amobi, a media-and-entertainment analyst at Standard & Poor's, wrote in a brief preview today.