- May 8, 2016
In your personal opinion, do you think the fall frenzy resulted BECAUSE DVC points were so low in the first place?I also suspect a change in 2021, but DVC will not leave the change up to some IT group playing with data and making invalid conclusions. It is true that studios have more demand than other rooms, with DVD being a primary cause -- selling 50 to 100 point contracts for the last 9 years while raising prices 100% over the same period, and then creating bungalows and cabins that few can afford the points for so DVD can sell more points to those who can afford only studios.
But high demand for studios is ultimately not the real problem. The problem is what everyone has actually known it has been for many years -- the demand for late Sep to marathon weekend in Jan time is excessive. Between the Monday after marathon weekend and late Sep, room availability is a lot better, including for studios -- BWV pool/garden, BRV, AKV standard and savanna view, SSR, OKW, Poly, and BLT lake view studios are usually open at 7 months out, even BCV and BLT theme park view studios are open 50% of the time at 7 months out, and VGF and BWV boardwalk view can be found about 30% of the time. Moreover, for some categories -- BWV standard, BLT standard, and AKV value and club level, it matters not what changes would be made because nothing is ever going to solve the high demand problems with those.
What is dictated by the actual data are the traditional seasonal changes. In other words, I suspect we are going to get changes over a two-year period (cannot change more than 20% in one year), where DVC finally bites the bullet and substantially raises points in the adventure and choice seasons that dominate the late Sep to marathon weekend in Jan period, set-off by a real lowering in the magic season and some in dream. Many members will gag at those changes but no one will be able to claim they are improper or not legally allowed, and one of the results will be a rise in 2BR and 1BR demand, particularly from Feb through August.
I guess my ultimate question is user demand a cause or effect of the point charts.