You are making the assumption that the people who weren't good at maximizing the use of legacy FP are going to be good at maximizing the use of FP+. Maybe this isn't the right assumption. Are these people who aren't "in the know" going to book all of their FP+ for headliners right at the 60-day or 30-day marks? Are they going to strategically schedule the FP+'s during the crowded times of day? Are they going to keep refreshing to get better times? Are they going to collect additional FPs after they use their first 3? My assumption would be that the people who didn't do their homework with FP are not going to do their homework with FP+. Maybe the only thing you can assume is that some who weren't getting 3 paper FP's per day might now be getting 3 FP+ per day, but are they getting them for the right attractions and at the right times?That is true, but if fewer people who hold fp are using them, then their "spots" on the ride will be used by people in the standby line, and that line will move proportionately faster. My point was that I don't think it makes sense to assume that disney is profiting from this by making people stay more days in the park, because the limiting factor of how many people get to ride a given ride per day is the ride capacity, not the availability of fp. If you find you are able to ride fewer rides per day because of a change in the fp system, then someone else (probably someone who wasn't using fp effectively before) must be riding more rides per day and the average length of stay probably won't be affected.
Regarding having your ticket scanned, I don't know if it's practical but it would be nice in a way if you only have to physically be present at the parks (connected to their hopefully-to-be-installed wifi) to book, because then we could all book the first fp while waiting in line at the esplanade. Otherwise I'm afraid everyone will start looking at their phones as soon as they go through the turnstiles and cause a traffic jam. But that might open up the door for people to cheat somehow and get fp for tickets that aren't even going to be used that day.
If I'm a Disney exec, my first priority is to get as many people in the park as possible. That means the guests spent their money on tickets. Once they're in the park, the next priority is to keep them in the park so they can spend more money on food and gifts. If they're in the park, they're likely spending money. The next priority is to keep them out of lines (I would think). If people are in lines, they aren't spending money. So, again, if I'm a Disney exec, I would want to keep the lines as short as possible with the parks as full as possible. If Disney knew that FP+ would increase standby wait times for less popular attractions (I'm certain they must have), then there had to be some other financial reason to switch to FP+, because it certainly wasn't done for the benefit of the guests. Maybe setting up and maintaining FP+ was cheaper than continuing to buy and print paper tickets. But you can be certain the switch was to increase the bottom line, be it getting more people in the parks or saving on paper/resources. Big companies simply don't change the way they do business for no reason. Again, if the parks are more crowded, it would stand to reason that many people would increase their length of stay in order to get done what they want to get done. That, I believe, is what Disney is banking on.
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