...but we plan on going again next year, and this would definitely change our mind on dining.
Us too.
The deluxe dining plan, in its current form is a win for us and a win for Disney.
I have done the math every which way over a few different trips.
With no plan we would order much more frugally than the DxDP and we would spend less than what the plan costs us. We would eat fewer table service meals, we would likely bring snacks and breakfast from home.
If I choose what restaurants we want to eat at, without thinking about cost, and we all order whatever we want, splitting an appetizer or two and sharing a dessert or two and each have one snack a day we spend just about the same amount with or without the plan.
So, we get the plan. And we order whatever we want and have no guilt. And my husband doesn't cringe when my 16 year old foodie daughter orders an app and an entree, doesn't finish them, but still wants dessert.
Disney definitely gets more money from us than they would if we paid for each meal out of pocket.
We get to order lavishly, without guilt, and know that the "extra" apps and desserts we would never in a million years purchase if we were paying OOP aren't costing us anything more than if paid OOP but ordered a much more reasonable quantity of food.
A win for us and a win for Disney.
BUT, eliminate the apps and we'll just pay OOP. And, honestly, if we aren't going to do a dining plan, we'll probably also rent a 5 bedroom/5 bathroom house with a private pool for $1000/week rather than staying on property.