Tropical Storm Update!!! Check here for latest info on Severe Weather Potential!

[CWIPPERMAN]

Since I'm leaving in about 9 days, I've been keeping track of weather that may impact my trip. I figured I might as well share with the board. Here is the latest "Tropical Storm Update" from the Weather Channel. As more information comes in, I'll add it to this thread.

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Tropical Storm Dolly in Atlantic
Thu, Aug. 29, 2002 6:48 PM ET
Tom Moore, Sr. Meteorologist
Tropical Update, The Weather Channel

Tropical Storm Dolly has formed far out in the Atlantic. As of 5 PM EDT Dolly was centered at 9.8N and 32.7W or 640 miles west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. Dolly is drifting to the west at 14 mph and will continue westward theough Friday. Some slow strengthening is possible. Dolly is still very far away from any islands so there is plenty of time to watch its progress.
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[CWIPPERMAN]

Dolly strengthens
Fri, Aug. 30, 2002 11:00 AM ET
Betsy Abrams, Sr. Meteorologist
Tropical Update, The Weather Channel

Tropical Storm Dolly continues to move west and gradually intensify. It is forecast to become a hurricane over the holiday weekend. Dolly is still many days away from the Lesser Antilles.

Dolly, impressive on satellite, is well organized with winds now up to 65 mph. Upper winds are favorable for strengthening for now. The storm is still far from any islands so there is plenty of time to watch its progress. There are some showers and storms north of Puerto Rico, northeast of the Bahamas and east of the Virgin Islands. So far there is no sign of organization.

 

[CWIPPERMAN]

Fri, Aug. 30, 2002 7:07 PM ET
Tom Moore, Sr. Meteorologist
Tropical Update, The Weather Channel

After a growth spurt, Tropical Storm Dolly has weakened considerably.

 

[Maistre Gracey]

Please don't do this to me!

We were there for Andrew and Floyd.
We will be at the Vero Beach resort 9/9-9/12, and WDW after that.

 

[CWIPPERMAN]

Weak tropical storm Dolly
Sat, Aug. 31, 2002 6:28 AM ET
Betsy Abrams, Sr. Meteorologist
Tropical Update, The Weather Channel

Dolly has gone through cycles of thunderstorms firing up and weakening, and is not nearly as organized now as it was yesterday. It is forecast to move west-northwest and eventually should end up north of the Virgin Islands, but interests in the Lesser Antilles should keep alert over the next few days. Upper winds north of the islands are very unfavorable for tropical development, so Dolly will have a tough time intensifying after the next few days. Showers and thunderstorms have flared up with three separate upper lows. One is southeast of Bermuda, another is north of the central Bahamas, and the last is in the Western Caribbean. All three areas should be watched to see if the thunderstorms persist. A weak surface low is tracking west in the Western Gulf. There are no thunderstorms associated with it.

 

[wdwguide]

Don't worry, there won't be much in terms of Hurricanes this year - ENSO is taking care of that as it gets stronger. The winter will probably be very rainy though.

 

[cindyfan]

What is ENSO??

 

[wdwguide]

ENSO = El Nino Southern Oscillation

 

[CWIPPERMAN]

Tropical Storm Dolly remains weak
Sat, Aug. 31, 2002 6:08 PM ET
James Wilson, Sr. Meteorologist
Tropical Update, The Weather Channel

Tropical Storm Dolly remains weak and is moving west-northwest over the open waters of the central tropical Atlantic. The storm is forecast to recurve over the next 48 to 72 hours and may not be a factor for the Islands or the mainland United States.

 

[CWIPPERMAN]

Minimal tropical storm Dolly
Sun, Sep. 01, 2002 6:17 AM ET
Betsy Abrams, Sr. Meteorologist
Tropical Update, The Weather Channel

Dolly is barely hanging on as a tropical storm, though thunderstorms have once again increased overnight but are not very organized. Dolly is expected to move more northwest in time, then north over the open Atlantic. A broad low pressure area just north of the northernmost Bahama Islands has shown an increase in thunderstorms and a tropical depression may be forming. It may eventually affect the Southeast Coast.

 

[CWIPPERMAN]

Tropical depression forms off Florida east coast
Sun, Sep. 01, 2002 2:49 PM ET

Buzz Bernard, Sr. Meteorologist
Forecast Summary, The Weather Channel

South
A cluster of thunderstorms boiling up just east of the Florida Peninsula and just north of the northernmost Bahamas has blossomed into a tropical depression. Whether or not the depression develops beyond its current stage, it seems destined to threaten more rain, perhaps excessive amounts, to parts of the Southeast Coast. If nothing else, the depression anchors the southern end of a trough of low pressure that extends northward over the Outer Banks of North Carolina. Thus, areas that already have been drenched over the past several days may have to deal with additional deluges tomorrow. Elsewhere in the South, scattered storms and showers will pepper the Gulf Coast and Florida Peninsula on Labor Day while the remainder (most) of the region remains dry and very warm.


TS watch issued for Fla./Ga.
Sun, Sep. 01, 2002 5:05 PM ET
Buzz Bernard/John Desjardins, Sr. Meteorologists
Tropical Update, The Weather Channel

Tropical Depression Five has formed off the east coast of Florida, about 115 miles east of Daytona Beach. A tropical storm watch has been issued from Titusville, Fla., to Brunswick, Ga., as the depression is moving toward the WNW at 7 mph. Additionally, the depression (or perhaps tropical storm) could threaten parts of the Southeast with additional excessive rains. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Dolly, located about 700 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, is forecast to remain relatively weak and turn to a more northwesterly or even northerly course, missing the islands.

<center><h1>CURRENT ORLANDO RADAR!</h1>

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[CWIPPERMAN]

Tropical Storm warnings for parts of the Southeast
Mon, Sep. 02, 2002 5:25 AM ET

Matt Newman, Meteorologist
Forecast Summary, The Weather Channel

South
Residents and vacationers along the Southeast Coastline should pay close attention to the progress of Tropical Storm Edouard. The storm is located roughly 90 miles east of St. Augustine, Fla. and is moving slowly off to the northwest in an erratic motion. All of the showers and storms associated with the storm remain off shore, although higher than normal seas and rip currents are likely along the Florida and Georgia coasts. Tropical Storm warnings are in effect from north of Fernandina Beach, Fla. northward to Savannah River, Ga. A tropical storm warning means that winds in excess of 35 mph can be expected within 24 hours. A tropical storm watch is in effect from north of Titusville, Fla. to Fernandina Beach, Fla. Elsewhere, typical afternoon showers and storms are possible today from coastal sections of the Carolinas through the Southeast and along the Gulf Coast.

 

[CWIPPERMAN]

Tropical Storm Edouard lurks off Southeast Coast
Mon, Sep. 02, 2002 1:45 PM ET

Buzz Bernard, Sr. Meteorologist
Forecast Summary, The Weather Channel


South
Tropical Storm Edouard (see Tropical Update) will continue its ominous pirouette off the Southeast Coast tomorrow while, ironically, much of the South enjoys sunny, warm weather. High temperatures will be in the 80s and 90s, generally somewhat above early September averages. Precipitation, scattered showers and thunderstorms, should be limited to Florida and the Gulf Coast… mainly the central Gulf Coast.

 

[CWIPPERMAN]

Tropical Storm Edouard targets Florida coast
Tue, Sep. 03, 2002 4:51 PM ET

By the Associated Press

Tropical Storm Edouard is moving slowly toward northeastern Florida and could make landfall by sometime tomorrow.

Forecasters say Edouard's 60 mile per hour wind is expected to weaken by then.

Edouard's center was 155 miles east of Jacksonville early Tuesday afternoon. The storm was wobbling eastward toward the open Atlantic yesterday, but it did an about face and is now moving toward the west-southwest at five miles per hour.

A tropical storm watch was in place from Flagler Beach, near Daytona Beach, to Fernandina Beach at the Florida-Georgia border. The National Hurricane Center in Miami says that could upgraded to tropical storm warnings later today.

Yesterday, those watches extended as far north as the Georgia-South Carolina border.

A weak Tropical Storm Dolly continues to pose no threat to land as it remains far out in the Atlantic.

 

[CWIPPERMAN]

TS Edouard lurks off of Florida's coast
Wed, Sep. 04, 2002 6:07 AM ET

Matt Newman, Meteorologist
Forecast Summary, The Weather Channel


South
Scattered showers and storms are possible today across the Florida Peninsula with an increase in activity possible tonight. Tropical Storm Edouard is forecast to approach the central coast of Florida by tonight and weaken into a depression as it does so. The impact is expected to be minimal with an increase in showers and storms the most likely result. (See Tropical Update for more details) Showers and storms are likely today, some locally heavy, across the western shores of the Gulf Coast. Houston will have the chance for showers and storms with a high of 86. Partly cloudy and warm conditions will be found elsewhere across the region today. Atlanta and Memphis will both have partly cloudy skies with a high in the low-90s. A few isolated storms are possible around Charlotte with a high of 91.

 

[CWIPPERMAN]

Weakening Edouard sloshes toward Florida coast
Wed, Sep. 04, 2002 4:04 PM ET

By the Associated Press, Ron Ward

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. (AP) -- Tropical Storm Edouard wobbled toward Florida Wednesday, prompting storm warnings for northeastern Florida and southeastern Georgia. Landfall was expected Thursday in Florida.
Although its maximum winds of near 40 mph were barely enough to be called a tropical storm, Edouard was expected maintain that status when the center comes ashore, said National Hurricane Center forecasters in Miami.

Steve Letro, meteorologist in charge of the National Weather Service in Jacksonville, predicted landfall "during the daytime Thursday."

At 2 p.m., the center was about 50 miles east-southeast of St. Augustine, moving west at about 8 mph.

Tropical storm warnings were issued from Titusville north to Brunswick, Ga.

Some rain bands were sweeping northern Florida by midday Wednesday, but Letro said the growing and shrinking of storm cells associated with Edouard made it difficult to predict rain levels expected when the storm finally makes landfall.

"We are maintaining a wait-and-see attitude," he said.

A tropical storm watch was in effect Wednesday from Titusville, near Cape Canaveral, south to Sebastian Inlet in central Florida.

Volusia County emergency managers met Wednesday and determined their biggest concern for was flooding west of the Daytona Beach area, said Charlie Craig with Volusia County Emergency Services.

"If we get 3 to 5 inches to rain, it could cause flooding," Craig said, adding the county was offering sandbags to people in flood prone areas.

Most of Edouard's thunderstorms are east of the center, meaning much of the stronger winds and heavier rain would hit land after the center.

Edouard was forecast to cross the Florida Peninsula and emerge over the Gulf of Mexico on Friday or Saturday.

Meanwhile, an area of disturbed weather in the northern Gulf of Mexico became better organized, with a center possibly developing about 125 miles south-southeast of Galveston, Texas, forecasters said. Conditions were favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression could form in the next 24 hours, they said.

Tropical depressions become tropical storms if maximum sustained winds reach 39 mph. If one develops here, it would be named Fay.

Tropical Storm Dolly was downgraded to a depression Wednesday as it lost strength while moving north in the open Atlantic 1,000 miles southeast Bermuda.

So far, none of the five named tropical storms this season have become hurricanes. Tropical storms become hurricanes if the sustained winds hit 74 mph.

 

[CWIPPERMAN]

Originally posted by CWIPPERMAN
Meanwhile, an area of disturbed weather in the northern Gulf of Mexico became better organized, with a center possibly developing about 125 miles south-southeast of Galveston, Texas, forecasters said. Conditions were favorable for additional development, and a tropical depression could form in the next 24 hours, they said.

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[TXMommy]

I live about 30 miles north of Galveston and we are all watching the system in the Gulf - whatever it is will likely head our way when it starts moving! I'm frustrated because I have a trip to New Orleans planned this weekend and I have to not only worry about the system that's in the Gulf now, but also Edouard, which is moving across Florida and is expected to re-organize once IT gets out into the Gulf!! Do I go? Do I stay home? AAAAAAA!

 

[cindyfan]

CWIPPERMAN, Looks like you will need to make sure you have your ponchos
No matter where those 2 decide to go....you will most likely get rain from them !
But you will still have a great time!!!
When we were there in Oct '99 we arrived for one hurricane and had constant torential downpours the first day, then 5 days of sun, then another hurricane showed up for the last 2 days we were there and lots more rain!!! I can't remember the names of the hurricanes, but they were pretty strong storms.

But, we simply did not let it bother us!!

 

[CWIPPERMAN]

Watching Tropical Depression 6
Thu, Sep. 05, 2002 9:24 PM ET

Tom Moore, Senior Meteorologist
Forecast Summary, The Weather Channel


South
Tropical Depression 6 has developed in the western Gulf of Mexico. This system may become Tropical Storm Fay in the near future. The main weather problem will likely be heavy rain over the next few days. The area of concern stretches from southern Louisiana to southeast Texas. Residents of these areas should monitor developing events carefully. Other then a few sections of the Florida Peninsula, the rest of the South should be dry. High temperatures will range from the upper 80s to the mid 90s over most of the region. Above average temperatures will remain over many locations into next week.