2023 DopeyBadger Spring Racing Season Prediction Contest
Alright posters and lurkers, let's play a prediction game! It's one of my favorite things to do pre-race. It's also something I do with everyone else on their training plans. Go through the process on deciding race day goals and pacing strategies all based around a possible finish time. I want to hear from everyone.
But here's the twist this time around- It's going to be a season long contest. I'll explain more below.
Please don't be concerned that your time prediction will have much of an impact on my chances. I could run really well, or I could crash and burn. Anything is possible. Here are some rules:
1) Predictions must be made after this post either in this journal, to me verbally, or on my Strava account.
2) Only one prediction per person per race.
3) Predictions must be in by 48 hours prior to the race.
4) Predictions can be as close as you like to another person’s guess. So, if someone says 3:45:00, you can guess 3:45:01, or the same time (3:45:00).
5) A prediction must be in time. Thus, a guess of "you'll do your best" or something similar is appreciated but not valid.
6) In the event I don't finish, the race is cancelled, or I don't have an official time (unless pre-decided otherwise), then there will be no time recorded for that race.
7) The winner receives a mystery item via email.
8) An important one - Given you accrue points over the season based on your standing in each race, it is to your advantage to play in all predictions. Although it is theoretically possible for someone to miss a prediction game and still win the season series.
I reserve the right to change these rules however I see fit, as after all, this is for fun.
How to play?
Simple explantation
You choose how fast you think I'll run a race when we're about a week out from the race itself. Don't worry I'll remind you.
Longer explantation on how it'll work
-You choose how fast you think I'll run a race when we're about a week out from the race itself.
-You will then be ranked against the other participants based on the net time you were off by. For example, Person A guess I will run a 10k in 39 min, person B guesses 41:02 min, and person C guesses 39:45 min. I end up running 40:00 min. Person C will be given the number of points based on the total number of participants. So if there are 20 people playing, and Person C was the closest (higher or lower) than they get 20 points. Person A was next closest they get 19 points, and Person B was next and gets 18 points.
-At the end of the season, the person with the most points is declared the winner.
-In the event of a tie, I'll determine a tie breaker to be decided at a later point.
Current Race Schedule
This may or may not change based on how the 2023 season plays out.
2/24/23 - Princess 5k (registered)
2/25/23 - Princess 10k (registered)
2/26/23 - Princess HM (registered)
3/11/23 - Shamrock 10k (registered)
3/26/23 - First Call HM (not yet registered)
4/15/23 - Parkinson's HM (not yet registered)
4/30/23 - Non-Cancelled HM (not yet registered)
*****
So first up is the Princess Weekend. You need to place a guess between now and 2/22/23 for each of the three races.
I'll post any predictions for the Princess Weekend races here:
5k
54:32 -
@MissLiss279
58:35 -
@flav
1:11:00 -
@bovie
1:15 -
@Jules76126
1:22:46 -
@azrivest
1:27:13 -
@lookingforsunshine
1:27:33 -
@Naomeri
1:32:00 -
@kps7795
1:35:00 - Me
1:36:15 -
@JAMIESMITH
1:49:00 - G
10k
39:59 -
@flav
40:30 -
@MissLiss279
40:37 -
@Naomeri
41:01 -
@bovie
41:30 - Me
41:41 -
@azrivest
41:55 -
@JAMIESMITH
42:00 - G
42:10 -
@Jules76126
42:15 -
@kps7795
42:37 -
@lookingforsunshine
HM
1:31:00 -
@Jules76126
1:31:31 -
@flav
1:31:31 -
@MissLiss279
1:32:00 -
@kps7795
1:32:36 -
@azrivest
1:33:15 -
@Naomeri
1:34:01 -
@bovie
1:34:30 - Me
1:34:57 -
@lookingforsunshine
1:35:00 - G
1:37:22 -
@JAMIESMITH
