Well, based on last year's discounts for that time period, it should be pretty good - but of course it's hard to say what this year will be
Here's last year for July (2006)
Check ins between 6/20/06-8/5/06 Florida resident room-only rates for selected Deluxe & DVC resorts became available on 6/8/06, exp 8/5/06
Check ins between 6/20/06-8/5/06 Annual Passholder room-only rates for selected Deluxe & DVC resorts became available on 6/8/06, exp 8/5/06
Check ins between 7/5/06-8/5/06 Annual Passholder room-only rates for selected Deluxe & DVC resorts became available on 5/17/06, exp 8/5/06
Check ins between 7/5/06-8/5/06 Florida resident room-only rates for selected Deluxe & DVC resorts became available on 5/18/06, exp 8/5/06
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It will also depend on how many CL rooms they open for discounts at what resorts - you'll want to keep watching for deals and jump as soon as you see any offered. If you haven't already, be sure and subscribe to the mousesavers newsletter for WDW deals too so they'll email you when any are announced:
http://www.mousesavers.com/newsletter.html
Good luck and have a wonderful time!
