MarkBarbieri
Semi-retired
- Joined
- Aug 20, 2006
- Messages
- 6,173
It looks like the Feds are going to spend $825 billion on the stimulus.
For perspective, we have about 300 million people in the US.
We've got about 300 million people in the US. There are just over 110 million households. So that amounts to $2,750/person or $7,500/household.
Our anticipated deficit for 2009 was projected to be 1.2 trillion before this stimulus plan. That works out to $4,000 per person or $11,000 per household.
When you combine the two, the federal government will have to borrow almost $7,000 more per person or more than $18,000 more per household for this year. That's some serious money.
The GDP for the US for 2007 was about $13,800 billion. I don't have a projection for 2009, but I'd estimate that it will be in the same ballpark. So the stimulus will be about 6% of GDP. Our deficit ($1,200 + $825 billion) will be almost 15% of GDP. That's an amazingly high figure. Imagine increasing your total indebtedness by 15% of your income this year. That's not very sustainable at all.
Of course, if the stimulus does what it is supposed to, it pays for itself in the long run. The money isn't just going into the ether. We'll have new infrastructure, more health care, etc for all of that money. According to supporters, it will also help us avert or ameliorate a major economic slowdown. So it is hard to compare the cost of the stimulus to the cost of not doing it.
No matter how you slice it though, were digging a deep hole. In the not very distant future, be prepared for much higher taxes, much less government spending, or some combination of the two.
For perspective, we have about 300 million people in the US.
We've got about 300 million people in the US. There are just over 110 million households. So that amounts to $2,750/person or $7,500/household.
Our anticipated deficit for 2009 was projected to be 1.2 trillion before this stimulus plan. That works out to $4,000 per person or $11,000 per household.
When you combine the two, the federal government will have to borrow almost $7,000 more per person or more than $18,000 more per household for this year. That's some serious money.
The GDP for the US for 2007 was about $13,800 billion. I don't have a projection for 2009, but I'd estimate that it will be in the same ballpark. So the stimulus will be about 6% of GDP. Our deficit ($1,200 + $825 billion) will be almost 15% of GDP. That's an amazingly high figure. Imagine increasing your total indebtedness by 15% of your income this year. That's not very sustainable at all.
Of course, if the stimulus does what it is supposed to, it pays for itself in the long run. The money isn't just going into the ether. We'll have new infrastructure, more health care, etc for all of that money. According to supporters, it will also help us avert or ameliorate a major economic slowdown. So it is hard to compare the cost of the stimulus to the cost of not doing it.
No matter how you slice it though, were digging a deep hole. In the not very distant future, be prepared for much higher taxes, much less government spending, or some combination of the two.