"Outside variables" are those aspects of the environment that could affect the outcome of an experiment. So temperature might affect the experiment, so it's an outside factor, while the angle of the sun would not affect the outcome, so it's not an outside variable.
I think you're right that wind speed is an outside variable, but they did a poor job of controlling for it. Cruising speed for a jet is hundreds of miles per hour, so choosing a low wind day is the opposite of controlling for that variable. Ditto temperature, which is very low outside the aircraft. I may get flamed for saying this, but the Mythbusters are mediocre scientists.
Your statement of the hypothesis is pretty strong. Explosive decompression is defined in terms of the rate of decompression, so unless they measured how long it took to get down to atmospheric pressure, one couldn't say it was "explosive." I think most accurately the hypothesis would be: "In an airplane with the same pressure differential as at cruising altitude, a small hole made by a projectile will cause a large hole and decompression rapid enough to make people and objects fly out."
Walt
Walt