No need to reply with an answer, please. If you would just click a poll answer, that would be appreciated. Thanks!
This applies to the USA only.
I didn't toss in my two bits to the previous thread, so I'll do it now.
The answer depends on what type of offense you're talking about. If you mean all the pennyante stuff that clogs up our courts (thefts, assaults, drug offences and so on), I would be fairly certain that 95 + percent of the folks found guilty are indeed guilty of the offense in question.
But if you ask about the more serious stuff - the felonies - I'd shade my figure down somewhat, to perhaps 90 %. Plea bargains are great for unclogging the court systems, but they are not necessarily fair to the many defendants who have a lazy, incompetent or just plain overworked public defender. They often are facing a choice between a bargain that puts them behind bars for five to ten years for an offense they didn't commit, or risk going to trial and getting twenty to thirty years.
But then turn it around again: if you ask whether the people convicted are guilty of
an offense, then my guess would go back up to 95 + percent. The people picked up by the police usually have a long arrest record, and have in fact been guilty of offenses. They just are not necessarily guilty of the offense for which they are standing trial.
(And oh, yes, Redrosesix and Bavaria, the way the question is phrased, Papa Deuce is asking about convictions in the U.S. You needn't necessarily be a U.S. citizen to answer that one - everyone probably has their opinion of good ol' American justice.)