I wonder what this thread would have looked like back in 95 or 96 when
DVC adjusted the points for certain seasons. I can hear the cries now. I knew it COULD happen but my guide promised it wouldn't. They've never changed them before. I only bought enough points to stay in X size for Y nights for Z time of year. I can hear the threats of I'm going to sue, sell, gripe, write, call or what ever other type of protest one can think of.
If I've given the impression that I don't care if they adjust the convenience options, I've given the correct philisophical impression. What I do care about is that if even one of my fellow DVC members was counting on using the program and are now "priced out" I am truly touched and sorry.
Overall DVC should increase in value about the same rate as the other WDW hotels. There may be other factors though like more of one type of resort, newer resorts, special amenities that will affect the equation, frankly either way. The system that controls this convenience option is part of the club function and is paid for by the members dues. That means we all pay for it even if we never use it and that's ok, whithin reason. The only difference in points between rooms (DVC or not) should be the difference in price that DVC rents out the unit given up (represented by points) vs what DVC pays for the destination resort which for DVC to DVC is zero. The reason the points need to be different for DC, CC,
DCL is that DVC is discounting many of the rooms they rent out and may not even rent out all of them AND is paying a relatively high price for the DC rooms. Matt Gibbs told me that he could lower the margin considerably by banking mostly holidays with the points in questions but that wasn't how they wanted to function. On that I agreed with him.
Therefore any increase, or decrease for that matter, only has 2 factors that DVC must consider. The cost of the destination room and the average income from rental of the points so traded. The only way to vary the costs are to pay less for the DC room in comparison, rent out the rooms for higher costs and/or rent a higher portion of the traded points over time. I hope DVC is able to negotiate a better deal for 2003 and beyond than it sounds like they have for next January. As noted, we still haven't seen the overall points tables but it sounds like it is somewhat negative from what we've heard so far. I also bet we're all not as far off in our overal assessment of the situation as it sounds in this thread.