I just read that El Nino is expected to bring a "Godzilla like" storm to Southern California that could last months and cause major flooding and land slides this fall and winter. We are planning a once in a lifetime trip in mid-November. What is Disneyland like when it rains like that? Will they close a lot of rides? What about parades and fireworks? Will the park close completely? Will characters be out walking around? My kids are most looking forward to meeting characters and watching parades. Are we going to be miserable?
I'm so sad right now
Did you read it when I posted the link in the Christmas/Holiday Season Superthread (yesterday)? I was actually trying to keep it contained in that thread so as not to cause mass panic and worry on the rest of the forum!
I don't think mid-November will be an issue.
I am old -- I have lived in SoCal since 1967. I've experienced a lot of the El Nino rain. It can be bad. It can be relentless. It can rain for weeks on end (one time I was watching the calendar to see if it was going to reach biblical levels of "40 days and 40 nights," and it stopped not long before the 40-day point!). It can cause flooding, roof collapses, massive leaks, cars hydroplaning to and fro, backed up storm drains, mudslides, small tornadoes, water spouts, etc. The Sepulveda Basin turns into a river. Dams and levees can break if there is too much stress on them. It's not the sort of rain where an umbrella will do much good, and even a poncho and rain coat can be almost pointless. It's a mess, basically.
People who have not experienced El Nino's wrath in California don't realize how ill-equipped we are to handle that kind of weather, which is why it causes so many problems. We are not talking about just a strong storm that moseys along on its way. We're talking about days and weeks on end of heavy, steady rain. The ground gets saturated and can't handle anymore, and it reaches its saturation point early on.
That said, right now the ocean's temperature is warm -- and maybe even getting warmer -- so it is not looking like this will be a false alarm. Unless the ocean cools down by a couple of degrees in the next 2 or 3 months, El Nino rain is coming. But... it can vary in intensity. The "peak" of the rain can be delayed, so that it doesn't really hit until early next year. The storms may not be as intense or last as long. Anything could happen to weaken the systems a little bit. The article that I linked in the Superthread clearly said that it looks like the rain will peak in late fall/early winter. If anything, it will be delayed. I don't think mid-November is in too much danger!
A lot of heavy rain -- if and when it should occur -- will, indeed, affect Disneyland's outdoor entertainment and rides. There is no getting around that. Anyone who happens to be there when and IF it happens will just have to deal with it as best they can an try to make the most of the time there.
And, by the way, in more than one article I read, the rain that is expected to come this winter is not going to fall in exactly the right places, in a large enough volume, to help the drought. SoCal is supposed to get more rain that NorCal, but NorCal is where all of the intense rain would need to fall in order to make a dent in the drought statewide. It doesn't just fall from the sky and help the drought. It has to land in the right places, and if the most intense rainfall impacts SoCal, it won't make much of a difference in the drought situation, sadly. So it will be a whole lot of mess and upheaval for very little payoff!