News Round Up 2019

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To coincide with the 30th Anniversary of the Little Mermaid, you can experience an immersive Live-To-Film Concert Experience at the Hollywood Bowl for two special evenings on May 17th and May 18th.

Cast includes:

Lea Michele as Ariel
Harvey Fierstein as Ursula
Cheech Marin as Chef Louis
Ken Page as Sebastian
Peter Gallagher as King Triton
Leo Gallo as Prince Eric

Alan Menken will be making a special appearance.

For tickets, you can visit the Hollywood Bowl website: https://www.hollywoodbowl.com/event...an-immersive-live-to-film-concert-experience/
 
Disney did not spend $170+ on it with expectations for it to gross $50 on opening weekend

The actual gross was $116 million on opening weekend. The $45-$50 mil everyone keeps referencing is domestic. I think thisbosbroght in line with expectations from Disney.

Additionally, the unusually late Easter this year and resulting wide spread of spring breaks will create a stranger than normal box office pattern
 
$50 million is a flop?!

These days more likely than not it is. I don’t know all the numbers on this one to know what makes it a success or not.

I am not a huge expert but I see figures of what the production company keeps at around 50%-55% of the box office take, plus you have to add in marketing.

So if production was $170m and you figure $50m for marketing (which might be conservative, I see the average movie in the US costs $65m and average distribution and marketing costs are $35m) - but that would put it at a $230m break event point. If they get 55% of the gross sales (I'll assume Disney is at the upper end), that means it needs to gross ~420m to break even.

From the actual vs projection, I see it made $45m domestically and was projected to make $50-65m and international it took $71m off projections of $80-90m - so below on both

I think with the later Easter there could be some legs to this - I know word of mouth I have seen was pretty positive ... but there is Shazam! coming out this weekend so see what impact that has on family film goers

Definitely not a good sign though
 
Disney did not spend $170+ on it with expectations for it to gross $50 on opening weekend....that being said if having it in the Disney+ launch lineup gets one more person to sign up it is probably worth it.

170 million is about the norm for the budget for Disney films. The problem is that most of them flop or underperform(outside of Marvel).

As I've said many times before, without Marvel their situation would be dire.
 
I am not a huge expert but I see figures of what the production company keeps at around 50%-55% of the box office take, plus you have to add in marketing.

So if production was $170m and you figure $50m for marketing (which might be conservative, I see the average movie in the US costs $65m and average distribution and marketing costs are $35m) - but that would put it at a $230m break event point. If they get 55% of the gross sales (I'll assume Disney is at the upper end), that means it needs to gross ~420m to break even.

From the actual vs projection, I see it made $45m domestically and was projected to make $50-65m and international it took $71m off projections of $80-90m - so below on both

I think with the later Easter there could be some legs to this - I know word of mouth I have seen was pretty positive ... but there is Shazam! coming out this weekend so see what impact that has on family film goers

Definitely not a good sign though

The P&A costs for expensive blockbusters like this is well over 100 million worldwide which would push the breakeven point closer to 600 million. Also, the foreign take for the studios averages about 40% and as low as 25% in China.

Long story short: this is certain to lose a LOT of money.

It's basically going to wipe out most of the profits that Captain Marvel made and this is coming off an awful holiday slate where all three offerings Nutcracker/Ralph/Mary Poppins lost money.
 
170 million is about the norm for the budget for Disney films. The problem is that most of them flop or underperform(outside of Marvel).

As I've said many times before, without Marvel their situation would be dire.
Pixar and Star Wars have also done pretty well for Disney, notwithstanding a Solo here and there. Besides, box office takes are not really the end-all for Disney films, especially since most recent ones are building on existing properties.
 
Pixar and Star Wars have also done pretty well for Disney, notwithstanding a Solo here and there. Besides, box office takes are not really the end-all for Disney films, especially since most recent ones are building on existing properties.

We'll see how Star Wars Ep. 9 does this Christmas but the trajectory has not been good. Pixar is also another question mark. The production cost on their films is usually hovering around 200 million before marketing and distribution costs meaning they have to hit it out of the park at the box office every time to be profitable.

Animation is now a very crowded marketplace and Universal's Illumination keeps cranking out monster hits at half the production costs of Disney/Pixars's. Now Universal also owns DreamWorks Animation.

Factor in that Lasseter is gone and we just don't know how Disney's Animation Studios will perform without him.
 
I think Dumbo also doesn’t have the same nostalgia as something like Cinderella, Beauty and the Beast, Aladdin, or Lion King. 3 of those 4 are playing hard on the 90s nostalgia. 90s kids like myself now have families and want to both reminisce and share our favorites with our kids. Myself, my wife, and my daughter loved BatB and can’t wait for Aladdin. Cinderella is also a staple princess and strongly present in the public conscious.

I’m a lifelong Disney fan (animation and parks) but I hold no interest or nostalgia for Dumbo. Didn’t like the original, and not interested to see Tim Burton’s take on it. My interest is so low that this isn’t even something I’d see on a streaming service.
I'm a kid off the 90s, and Dumbo was always my favorite. I rented it an ungodly number of times until it came out of the valute when I was in College.
 
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