tomandrobin said:
SSR - 330
I don't see a problem with them enforcing the rules that are suppose to be already in place. One transfer in a year period does not seem extreme. If I was to transfer points in or out, I would think it would only happen once in a year anyway.
Beca - I'm not sure I understand your post on how it benifits SSR and OKW. Does the change effect HH, VB, BWV, BCV and VWL in a bad way? I am also not sure of the "big bucks" quote, considering the current SSR pricing is higher now then any of the previous resorts. Most of the other resorts were sold for less, especially if bought resell, like form our sponser. I do agree that the big renters are the ones who will hurt the most from this, but they aren't suppose to be in the "DVC" rental business anyway. I'm also not sure why you think this change has devalued BCV. Has it devalued any of the other resorts too, or just yours? I don't understand. The resort is still small and in a desireable location. The number of rooms has not changed. The 11 month window is still there for the home resort owners.
The "big bucks" I was referring to was people have purchased BCV recently at the $95-$97 pt price (plus closing costs), which usually bring the price up to $100-105 per point price. Include the struggle to find a contract (usually stripped), and 12 fewer years, and these people are probably pretty upset that DVC is trying to make the home resort advantage unnecessary. BCV is priced usually even around $10 per point OVER BWV, which also has the same location....only because availability is tough within the 7 month window. If DVC takes steps to ensure availability within the 7 month window, the price of BCV will immediately drop to that of BWV....which right now is about a $10 per point devaluation.
I actually think this change makes HH and VB BETTER places to own. If availability opens up, people should now be able to get VB at $68 per point, and use it to stay at BCV,VWL, or BWV. This change most benefits anyone who owns at the larger resorts, and therefore negatively affects the resale value of the smaller resorts. Devaluing my property so that others can benefit makes me mad!
However, the other "wrinkle" in this is that we might actually see BWV increasing a bit because of the SV and BW view options. No matter how much "tweaking" DVC does to the system, those views will stay primarily an "owner's perk", which might make them the most hard-to-come-by rooms in the system...which just might help to offset, and stabilize BWV's price per point.
Every "crack down" in the rules, or "tightening of flexibility" makes more room "in the system" at the smaller resorts. If that is the case, and DVC continues to build larger resorts in lieu of smaller ones, I would expect that we will see further reductions in our flexibility to make room for the members who have yet to join (i.e. as DVC expands, more limitations will be placed on everyone's usage so EVERYONE can get to stay at the smaller DVC properties, which are not expanding).
I hope that helps to clarify my position. I know it is actually confusing to understand, but there are economic equations which can express the "system" of DVC. As flexibility in the ways you can use your DVC goes up, availability at the smaller resorts goes down. The opposite is also true, as you restrict flexibility in usage, availability at the smaller resorts goes up.
The same equations hold true for the size of the resorts....the three smaller resorts (with a fewer total number of rooms to add to the equation) bring more money than the larger ones (SSR is different because it adds in 12 extra years). If DVC announced a 600 room expansion of BCV, the price of BCV would drop in the resale market. Another equation (with some variation for location, amenities, etc) is that as size increases, price goes down.
Another economic equation that has held true, to a degree is location...the onsite properties have brought more than the offsite ones (HH and VB), and the resorts connected to a park seem to do better than those which are not (including return on initial investment, and time spent on the resale boards).
So, I do not see DVC's move today as a move to stop renting, as they have always said in the past that they really don't care about members who rent. I do see the move as one that restores balance to a system that became unbalanced when SSR was added. Restoring this balance also will serve to even out the value of the properties....that devalues mine.
If I am correct, then as more properties are added, they can either (by their characteristics) help to restore balance to the system (a smaller resort, connected to a deluxe hotel also connected to a park would help RESTORE the balance), or further destablize the system (something that another 800 unit, cond-style resort would do). That is why I suspect that if EP is added, we will see more restrictions in our flexibility (it will just be interesting to see who DVC blames next time)...probably a reduction in the time that an owner has exclusive access to their home resort.
Beca