Flying from NC Thursday

maxiesmom

The Mean Squinty Eye Works
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This a bit of a vet but I'm also open to any advice you may have. My niece is supposed to be flying home Thursday to Michigan from Charlotte NC for her wedding Saturday. I've talked to her about watching the weather, and keeping an eye on her flights, but she doesn't "want to be stressing about it". And plans on seeing what happens Wednesday.

Besides telling her to watch her flights for any changes that may happen, and any offers of free rescheduling, what else can I tell her? I'm a bit worried that if she waits until Wednesday to do anything it may be too late.
 
Tell her you will take care of worrying for her. Tell her to pack NOW, in case she has to leave fast. As soon as you see any weather alerts on her airline website, make the change then contact her (if prearranged) or call her then make the changes.
 
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) website has all sorts of maps available when storms crop up.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Clicking on a storm will bring you to a page that looks like this. (Resized to fit better.)

nhc-florence-maps-examples.jpg


In your case, you'll probably be most interested in the "Arrival Time of Winds" map. I say that because wind is going to be the chief determination of when an airport will close.

The NHC publishes two versions of the map. What you want is the "Earliest Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds" map. (When a storm becomes a hurricane, you may see additional maps showing when Hurricane-Force Winds will arrive. Ignore those and stick with Tropical-Storm-Force Winds because that's usually the threshold airports/airlines use to determine when airports/flights are canceled.)

Current map as of 7:51pm on 9/8/18 (resized to fit better):
nhc-tsflorence-earliest-winds.jpg


There is slightly different map that can be found by clicking options in the box that appears above the map. That changes the graphic from "Earliest Reasonable Arrival Time" to "Most Likely Arrival Time" of the wind.

Current map as of 7:53pm on 9/8/18 (resized to fit better):
nhc-tsflorence-mostlikely-winds.jpg


What these two maps tell you is that airports and airlines will need to figure out what they are doing prior to your niece's flight on Thursday. That's because the arrival of winds strong enough to close down airport will be some point on Wednesday night.

As such, I would expect airlines to start offering weather waivers at some point in the next day or two. I would recommend watching the airline website for that waiver. I would also recommend that your niece plan on the fact that she will need to leave on Tuesday or Wednesday. Given the fact that both Charlotte and Chicago are major airline hubs, she shouldn't have too much problem finding a flight.

IMPORTANT: Forecasts are just forecast. They change. Many people in South Florida evacuated to the west coast of Florida due to the projected path of Hurricane Irma. But, Irma didn't follow that path and ended up hitting the west coast of the state.
 
Tell her to leave on Tues. Waiting till Wed will be too late for her to wait and see what happens especially since this is her wedding she is flying to. If her flight gets canceled so will 1000's of other peoples flights and availability to rebook will be scarce. I would book a tues afternoon or night flight. Southwest has a Tues night flight through Nashville for $256 and if she does not need to take that flight she can cancel for free and have up to a year to spend the $256 on another SWA flight. Best insurance policy she can invest it right now to not miss the most important day of her life. She can cancel the SWA up to ten minutes before take off. Flight leaves at 6:55 p.m
 
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I have to agree with Shelly's comments. Waiting until Thursday for your own wedding is really rolling the dice. While Charlotte might not be quite in the direct hit area, airlines are going to be proactive in getting their jets out of the area and keeping them out until the storm has passed. Another thing to remember is that it isn't only Charlotte weather to consider. Where is the flight she's getting on coming from? If, for example, it was coming from somewhere like Raleigh or Charleston (unlikely), there would be a pretty high chance of cancellation. You could use a site like flightaware (I think) to track its origination. Have a plan B ready.
 
Sorry to hijack your thread, OP, but I wanted some similar advice. We have an early morning flight out of Greensboro on Saturday morning. We have a one hour layover in Charlotte, and then fly to Orlando from there. I'm trying to come up with a contingency plan for if our flight gets cancelled. I'm wondering if it's worth it to try to cancel the Greensboro > Charlotte flight, drive to Charlotte the night before, and try to pick up the second leg of the journey from there? But if that flight gets cancelled, then we're stuck in Charlotte instead of at home (though the weather will almost certainly be worse here anyhow.) The most frustrating thing is I know everything will be fine in Orlando, I just don't know when we'll be able to get there! I've been looking forward to this vacation for many months, but of course safety is important. Does anyone else have any wise words or advice? I'm really hoping for the best but trying to plan for the worst :worried:
 
Sorry to hijack your thread, OP, but I wanted some similar advice. We have an early morning flight out of Greensboro on Saturday morning. We have a one hour layover in Charlotte, and then fly to Orlando from there. I'm trying to come up with a contingency plan for if our flight gets cancelled. I'm wondering if it's worth it to try to cancel the Greensboro > Charlotte flight, drive to Charlotte the night before, and try to pick up the second leg of the journey from there? But if that flight gets cancelled, then we're stuck in Charlotte instead of at home (though the weather will almost certainly be worse here anyhow.) The most frustrating thing is I know everything will be fine in Orlando, I just don't know when we'll be able to get there! I've been looking forward to this vacation for many months, but of course safety is important. Does anyone else have any wise words or advice? I'm really hoping for the best but trying to plan for the worst :worried:


Have you looked to see if you can change the flights without penalty?
 
Sorry to hijack your thread, OP, but I wanted some similar advice. We have an early morning flight out of Greensboro on Saturday morning. We have a one hour layover in Charlotte, and then fly to Orlando from there. I'm trying to come up with a contingency plan for if our flight gets cancelled. I'm wondering if it's worth it to try to cancel the Greensboro > Charlotte flight, drive to Charlotte the night before, and try to pick up the second leg of the journey from there? But if that flight gets cancelled, then we're stuck in Charlotte instead of at home (though the weather will almost certainly be worse here anyhow.) The most frustrating thing is I know everything will be fine in Orlando, I just don't know when we'll be able to get there! I've been looking forward to this vacation for many months, but of course safety is important. Does anyone else have any wise words or advice? I'm really hoping for the best but trying to plan for the worst :worried:

Unless your trip is only a few days, my contingency plan would be to drive it. I know a 600 mile drive isn't the most fun thing in the world, but it is doable in one day. I'd be much more willing to sacrifice part of a day than the whole trip. (Another possibility would be to rent a car at GSO or CLT, drive to Florida, then drop the car at MCO and still fly home...but you'll have to see what the airline would let you do)
 
Sorry I haven't replied until now. Our flight from GSO to CLT was cancelled, so right now the plan is to keep our flight out of Charlotte and hope it doesn't get cancelled, too. If it does, we may have to delay the trip another day and lose out on a night of the hotel.

Unless your trip is only a few days, my contingency plan would be to drive it. I know a 600 mile drive isn't the most fun thing in the world, but it is doable in one day.

The thought had crossed my mind, but our "normal" route would take us toward the storm, which I certainly don't want to drive into. Bad weather coupled with evacuation traffic sounds more nightmarish than hunkering down in an airport.

I'm trying to stay really positive, but I talked to my mom earlier and she was trying to tell me to prepare myself for disappointment. :guilty:
 


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