We bought the passes a year ago and went to ASMo in Jan for $49.
A value is perfect when the weather is cold and the parks are empty because you will probably spend more time at the parks and the pool is iffy!
Then we went in the beginning of May and stayed at CBR for $84. We were more able the enjoy the resort and pool.
We did AKL Labor Day for $119
ad ASSp in Nov for $49
All of these were FL RES rates.
Our only bad deal was Oct. Our AC went out on a Friday afternoon and could not be fixed until Monday. My DH came home from work and said "Let's go to WDW!" I called around 5:30pm and could only get ASSp for $99!!!!! We took it for two nights and were checking in at 10:30pm.
My opinion is to stay at a value when the weather is cooler and save for the deluxe when the weather is warm- unless you can only get away in Jan- I would go for Deluxe in that case!