According to "specialists" Disney seems to be the only themepark with consistant numbers (even rising some say) of visitors despite the slowing economy. The main reason being the great value of the dollar against most European currencies and therefore attracting many international guests.
I´m pretty sure though that Disney will continue to release codes and other forms of discounts, as they have in the past.
DH and I use Castmember rates and availability as a barometer of overall room availability. For example.....when the resorts are booked heavily --- castmember rates decrease or disappear.
Well, if you use THAT as a barometer.......
1.) Our Castmember rate for the 1 BR villa at Boardwalk just went down + we rarely see 1 BR villa's available in December
2.) We are booking a September trip to DL because the Grand Californian rate just became too good to not grab......FAR better than last year at the same time when we traveled to DL.
Lets not forget the reality here.
1.) Anyone who COULD still go to WDW this summer - has gone keeping park numbers up. Many people wrote on these threads that they had already paid or saved enough for this year's trip.
2.) Exchange rate has been favorable for our friends from Europe to visit --- The dollar has gained a little strength AND rumors of banking problems in Germany and GB make keep some of our friends home in the future.
3.) ....and there is always the truth that they have raised prices on just about everything at WDW while dropping the quality of the product.. Checkout the changes in restaurant menus. There was a lengthly thread on this subject a couple of weeks ago.
4.) Their operational budgets continue to be slashed --- take a look at mousekeepers. Why is Disney bringing in so many from outside the US. It's because their mousekeepers leave for US - higher pay and better working conditions.
How do I know.....DH is a 30 year castmember and I work with two former WDW castmembers.
Yes, they had a surprising summer - although the actual park attendance was down 2% and their overall profit % was considered "disappointing" by the Disney beancounters.
Let's see how many people can still afford to go in 2009. Disney is setting themselves up to be able to offer discounts if advance reservations are not what they consider acceptable. That's simply yield management.