In most cases, yes, same-day reservations will be very do-able. That's why the tiers exist--at least at Epcot and DHS. Attractions like Toy Story Mania, Test Track and Soarin don't have the daily rider capacity for all guests to be able to ride. The tiers force guests to choose between those--and several other options--most often leaving each at less than full capacity.
Does that seem right or appropriate to you?
Or do you think perhaps its a backward was to try to force people to stay for longer durations that they have felt they "deserved" after AK and has been pouting about ever since. I mean...they built half a park and then started cutting corners across the entire property...why arent the stupid guests increasing their 6.7 day stays to 9.8 days like they were expected to? Throw me a bone here.
anything, I think there may be some modest increase in standby line usage due to the limit of 3 FPs per guest. But that increase will be largely offset by time saved not dashing around to collect FP tickets and time no longer spent criss-crossing parks as the day revolves around uncertain FP return times. And many attractions will likely distribute fewer FPs (due to the 3 per guest limit) which results in faster-moving standby lines.
No offense at all ( i yield to your genius

)...but i've seen you put this over and over again. Do you honestly think that that fastpass sprint was that big of a problem? I mean...who really does this...a couple of hundred/thousand at rope drop? The majority of the crowds (based on the internal tracking for 15 years) arrive between 9 and 12...that doesnt equate to "fast pass sprint". I think it a vocal but...small...minority who really slaps and complains about the struggles of fastpass kiosks. i'm guessing the matching tshirt/pin lanyard types..or tour groups.
agree...there does still seem to be some missing piece. With regard to shopping, we've all heard the line that FastPass was originally created to entice guests to spend more money by shopping or dining while waiting for ride times.
But I've often heard that this never really happened...that sales didn't spike after FP introduction...that guests mostly used those FP windows to ride other attractions via standby. Don't really know which version of that story is true though.
Well...if you believe what the management types said...oh say...12 or so years ago...
Yes...fastpass was put in as a giftshop driver. Not a government secret...everything since about 1985 was put in as a giftshop driver. its where the money is made.
And no...i don't think fast pass worked for that. If anything...it actually injected more freedom/leisure into the park...which is not good for sales.
It also might be that they sell cheaper and cheaper crap every single year. no analysis of that due to the asian free trade agreements. Why look at the results when its being begot so cheap. Just have to "re-educate the consumer
"...thats all.
consider this...one of the biggest complaints about the parks these days is that they are getting "more and more crowded." Well, one of the easiest ways to ease that crowding--or at least the appearance of it--is to get a few more people into the Standby lines. Crowds are something of an illusion because they're based upon what people see on park pathways and in shops. Consider what the original FP system was doing to "crowds" as people waited for their ride times. It creates more foot traffic (again, criss-crossing the parks to first grab the FP tickets and then to ride), you have more people sitting on benches, leaning against walls and camping-out at restaurant tables while waiting for their ride times. Shops were stuffed with browsers killing time.
I reject this. the parks arent pound for pound more crowded...in fact attendance increases are due to an expanding travel calendar for many...and guaranteed multiple annual trips by dvc (guilty)
The complaints are due to the ever diminishing virtue of patience. 2 hour waits were tolerated at WDW in the past. now 30 minutes are unacceptable. you see this everyday. wdw...if anything...is for the spoiled at heart.
used FP+ last month and it worked exactly as advertised. We picked our rides about 2 weeks in advance. Ended up making a single loop around each park (used it at MK and DHS), hitting our scheduled rides and filling-in with others that had short waits.
Honestly FP+ is everything I hoped it would be. (Although I wouldn't mind them raising the daily limit to 4 or 5 FPs.) It allowed us to make more efficient use of our time. We did everything we wanted to do, but in less time than without FP.
That said, I do keep waiting for the other shoe to drop, and some clear means of monetizing the system to appear. Perhaps it will be more FPs for Disney hotel guests (higher occupancy, eventually higher rates.) Perhaps they will offer some paid tier with more than 3 FPs per day. Whatever the case, it does seem like there's still an element missing.
I have also liked my one experience so far...because i don't HAVE to ride anything and i value the scenery and the food more...so that is goal #1. food is pushing it though...better start turning the quality up now that they've hooked people on that stupid plan and jacked the prices to oblivion. and the standardized bar menus...are you serious?!?!
digress...
I can think of a few ways that this might play out. Is it possible that an overall increase in lines (more on the bottom...maybe less on the top)...might be the goal?
doesnt that counter the "giftshop" plan? yes and no...perhaps they have multiple angles...giftshops being the greedy/easy one...but what if this is a setup for "experience" charges? as in princess pay personalized experiences...like meet and greet meets bibbidi bobbity boutique. what if for say...$30..your little princess can now book exclusive access to her favorite characters and rides...with much more freedom than the rigid "new normal"?
who wouldnt fall for that?
or "extreme mountain climbers" passes...all those extreme thrill rides whenever you want them?
wouldn't that data they collect help target pay packages to you? hmmm...
What i'm saying is that it might be more complicated than just fast pass purchase packages...perhaps
Or...as many have speculated...stupid sounding resort level fastpass bumps...
Disney's "Dream" Level packages, Disney's "Wishes" packages, Disney's "Fantasy" packages...
sounds like Hedonism..i know...but if it plays like this:
level one: value, expirable park hopper, mugs and food, and 4 picks
level two: moderate, expirable park hopper, dining, and 5
level three: deluxe, expirable park hopper, expanded dining/rec, and unlimited fp spots up to the daily maximum based on time...and of course a free dvc tour and a banana split.
wow...that's alot of guaranteed, non-refundable revenue that they can pay dividend on before you show up - aint it?