I heard a news/weather report the other day that said a strong El Nino, that may develop, may impact strong storms in the Caribbean-meaning they would be unlikely to impact that area as they have in the last several years. However, that same El Nino, if it develops, would bring those storms up the east coast. Being from the northeast, we know that we are long overdue for a major storm in this area. So that is their guess. Last year everything in the tropics started up a bit later than usual. You never really know. Get good
trip insurance, go with the flow, cross your fingers, hope for the best. And enjoy your adventure!