DisFlan said:
I thought that might be the case, too, Steve. From what my friend told me, the buyers didn't seem that type. They said they planned to "fix it up". I just couldn't imagine paying nearly a half mil for what was pretty close to a pile of rubble! But I guess in an inflated market, you buy what you can. My friend was suprised it wasn't considered a health hazard.
Even tho is was a piece of junk, the place sold in a VERY short time after hitting the market. Housing in L.A. must be really tight.
DisFlan
Well, if I was looking to buy right about now....I'd sit tight. All indicators are pointing to a housing cooldown....not a sharp drop mind you. But the days of double digit gains a *quarter* are over for some time.
We are already seeing it here. In April of this year there were 2,700 homes on the market in the greater metro Orlando area. Now...a short 8 months later....7,700 homes. Realtors keep saying that it's still a great time to sell! And yes, it may be better than in previous decades, but we're flipping over to a buyer's market, and not so quietly either.
USA Today just wrote a story on this today. While a professor at UCLA says that the cooldown shouldn't trigger an economic resession, a slowdown is coming for sure.
Other disturbing facts in that article, 300,000 jobs in the housing sector will be lost in years to come. 500,000 job in financial services. And a fair number of manufacturing jobs as well.
Since 9/11 it has been housing that has held this country up. It has created thousands of jobs, but also lots and lots of equity. Unfortunately, a lot of people are going overboard and used their homes as an ATM machine. This year 72% of all refiances will be "cash-out" refis, and over 200 BILLION dollars in equity will be pulled out of peoples' homes. Next year's forecast...116 billion, that's going to be quite a hit to consumer spending.
The days of buying and quickly flipping properties are over. Now, buy a home and plan to live in it for a pretty long time. And there are other ramifications that will hit folks too. So many people have bought recently using very risky mortgage products like the "interest only" mortgage. Well, those folks are in for a tough time because rates are on the rise, and many people may end up locking in to find out that they owe more than their homes are worth.
Here's the full USA Today article for anyone who is interested.
http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/housing/2005-12-07-ucla_x.htm